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Using Degree-Days To Predict Western Bean Cutworm Flight Times

Jul 06, 2015
By Julie Peterson
Extension Entomologist
 
One of the challenges with controlling insect pests in field crops is knowing when the damaging stage of the insect will be present in the field. Scouting for insects and making an effective treatment, if the pest is above the economic threshold, can be a challenge because the time when the insect is present and damaging a crop can vary from year to year. This variation occurs because insect development depends on variable weather conditions such as air and soil temperature. Important stages in insect life cycles, such as egg hatch, pupation, adult flight, and reproduction can be predicted based on environmental temperatures.
 
 
western bean cutworm egg & larva
 
Figure 1. Western bean cutworm egg mass (L) and larva (R).
 
By using a degree-day model, you can account for the effect of temperature on insect development and approximate when certain insect development events will occur by measuring degree-days. Degree-days are units that measure how much heat an insect has been exposed to within an upper and lower temperature threshold. These temperature thresholds establish the range of temperatures that allow for insect growth and development. By studying insect development in the laboratory and the field, entomologists can determine these thresholds, as well as the number of degree-days that must be accumulated in order for a specific insect species to reach a certain stage in their development. These numbers will vary depending on the insect species.
 
One common way to measure degree-days is by taking the average temperature of each day and subtracting the lower threshold from that average:
 
[(Actual Minimum Temp + Actual Maximum Temp)/2] – Lower Threshold
 
  • If the Actual Minimum Temp is less than the Lower Threshold, change it to the Lower Threshold.
  • If the Actual Maximum Temp is greater than the Upper Threshold, change it to the Upper Threshold.
  • If both the Actual Minimum Temp and Actual Maximum Temp are less than the Lower Threshold, the degree-day accumulation for that date is zero.
 
A degree-day model will determine on which calendar date to start counting degree-days. After this date, degree-days from each day are accumulated to give the total cumulative degree-days.
 
A New Degree-Day Model for Western Bean Cutworm
 
Aiming to improve predictions of cumulative western bean cutworm (WBC) moth flights and efficiency of field scouting, UNL entomologists Thomas Hunt and Bob Wright, along with researchers from University of Minnesota, Roger Moon and Bill Hutchison, and Anthony Hanson, PhD student, developed a new model for the flight of western bean cutworm. It was published in 2015 in the Journal of Economic Entomology. Previously, extension entomologists, crop consultants, and growers throughout the Midwest had been using a model developed in 1979 by entomology master's student Tarik Ahmad and former University of Nebraska–Lincoln researchers.
 
Our new model improves upon this one greatly, and was developed and validated using data from black light traps in North Platte, Concord, Clay Center, and Aurora. Researchers found that the best model for predicting timing of western bean cutworm flight used simple degree-day calculations beginning on March 1, with a 38°F lower threshold and a 75°F upper threshold. The new cumulative flight model indicated that 25% of moth flight should be completed when 2,577 degree-days F have accumulated. Field scouting to estimate egg density is recommended at this time.
 
Predicted Dates for 2015 Western Bean Cutworm Flights in Nebraska
 
 
Table 1. Using the new degree-day model and 2015 temperatures reported for the following locations, the predicted flight patterns for western bean cutworm in Nebraska are shown below. Scouting is recommended at 25% of the moth flight.
 Percent of Total Western Bean Cutworm Flight
Location5%10%25%50%75%90%95%
BenkelmanJuly 5July 8July 12July 16July 21July 25July 29
Big SpringsJuly 10July 13July 17July 21July 26July 31Aug. 3
Clay CenterJune 30July 3July 7July  11July 16July 20July 24
ConcordJuly 1July 4July 8July 13July 17July 22July 25
GrantJuly 5July 8July 12July 17July 21July 26July 29
HastingsJune 29July 3July 7July 11July 15July 20July 24
HoldregeJuly 3July 6July 10July 14July 18July 23July 26
ImperialJuly 3July 7July 11July 16July 20July 25July 28
McCookJune 22June 25June 29July 4July 8July 13July 16
North PlatteJuly 9July 12July 15July 20July 24July 29July 31
OgallalaJuly 6July 9July 13July 17July 22July 27July 30
ScottsbluffJuly 8July 11July 15July 19July 24July 28July 31

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Scouting and Integrated Pest Management of Western Bean Cutworm
 
Western bean cutworm can be a devastating pest for corn and dry bean growers, particularly in western Nebraska. Please refer to the Nebraska Extension NebGuide, Western Bean Cutworm in Corn and Dry Beans, for more information.  Also consider these points related to scouting and treatment of western bean cutworm:
 
  • Nebraska Extension's Speed Scouting free mobile app or spreadsheet can make scouting for WBC easier.
  • Genetically engineered Bt corn expressing Cry1F (Herculex) proteins will suppress WBC feeding, but will not eliminate all caterpillars. (See Handy Bt Trait Table for those trait packages that protect against WBC.)
  • For corn that does not have Bt traits that protect against WBC, the treatment threshold is 5-8% of corn plants with eggs or larvae.