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R. Plain: Monthly Cattle On Feed Report

USDA's April cattle on feed report was a bit positive with March placements lower than expected and marketings higher than expected. The total number of cattle on feed at the start of April was up 5.0% compared to April 2010. The pre-release survey of forecasts predicted an increase of 5.2%. The number of cattle on feed has been above the year-earlier level for the last 11 months. The April inventory is the highest on-feed number for any April since 2008.

USDA said March placements of cattle into large feed yards (over 1,000 head capacity) were 3.3% higher than in March 2010. The average of pre-release trade forecasts was for March placements to be up 4.0%. Placements had been above year-ago levels for 10 the previous 12 months. March placements were the highest of any March since 2007. Extremely dry pastures in the southwest, particularly Texas and Oklahoma, are pushing cattle toward feed lots. The number of feeder cattle coming north from Mexico is also up sharply.

USDA said marketings of fed cattle from large feed yards during March totaled 1.988 million head, up 4.5% compared to March 2010. The trade forecast March marketings to be up 3.1%. Last month's marketings were the highest of any March since 2000.

The number of cattle placed on feed weighing less than 800 pounds was down 3.1% from last March. Placements of feeders weighing more than 800 pounds were up 21.6% compared to a year earlier. The calculated average weight of cattle placed on feed during March was 1.4% higher than in March 2010.

The average retail price for choice beef during March was a record $4.747 per pound. That was up 12.9 cents from February and up 43.9 cents from March 2010. Slaughter steer prices averaged $115.60/cwt in March, also a record.

This report included a breakdown of cattle on feed by gender. The number of steers on feed at the start of April was up 6.6%. The number of heifers on feed was up only 2.2%. Of the cattle on feed, 36.4% were heifers. That is the lowest percentage on April 1 since 2007. This may be an indication that cow-calf producers are saving heifers to expand the breeding herd.

       

                 Cattle on Feed, 1000+ Capacity Feedlots, U.S.

                                             2009                     2010                   2011                Percent of
                                           ---- - 1,000 head  -----    Year Ago
On Feed March 1             11,228                  10,849               11,399               105.1%
Placed during March       1,808                     1,856                 1,918                 103.3%
Marketed during March    1,824                    1,903                 1,988                 104.5%
Other Disappearance            50                          60                      52                  86.7%
On Feed April 1               11,162                   10,742              11,277                 105.0%

Source: 


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