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Ag Land Values Decrease Statewide On Average

Sep 20, 2017
By Shannon Sand
SDSU Extension Livestock Business Management Field Specialist
 
2016 Agricultural Land Values
 
From 1991 to 2015, agricultural land values in South Dakota, and in most other major agricultural production states, appreciated each year. In 2016 on average all agricultural use land decreased in South Dakota except rangeland, which will be discussed in a future article. This is the first annual decline in the average value of agricultural ground compared to yearly increases of 1.4 to 33.6 percent during 2011-2015 (Table 1). This indicates a change from the previous cycle of increases in agricultural land values.
 
Table 1. Average reported value and annual percentage change in value of South Dakota agricultural land by region, February 2011-2016.*
 
 
 SEE. Cent.NEN. Cent.Cent.S. Cent.SWNWSTATE
Year
Avg. Value (Dollars per acre)
20164752506936613182308015848278362444
20154995518639403226303516349647372505
20145385576339623319293114616205122470
20134954550436843217267812946065362328
2012401438902587232522579174613691742
2011290033322274172014507814593421374
Annual % change
16/15-4.9%-2.3%-7.1%-1.4%1.5%-3.1%-14.2%13.4%-2.4%
*All Ag Land (nonirrigated)
 
Agricultural Land Demand
 
The amount of land devoted to production agriculture in South Dakota is fixed and has changed little during the last 26-years. Figure 1 shows that regionally, the change in value varied from a 13.4 percent increase in the Northwest, to a 14.2 percent decrease in the Southwest. Many factors influence the demand for agricultural land in states such as South Dakota, such as interest rates, price expectations, and demand for commodities just to name a few.
 
 
Figure 1. Percent change in value by South Dakota agricultural land by region 2016-2015.
 
Looking Forward
 
There have been sharp declines in crop prices and returns in the past year. The drop in commodity prices from 2014 to 2016 may be a reason all South Dakota agricultural land values on average decreased 2.4% compared to a year ago (Table 1).
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