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Bigger crops, fierce competition may lower canola prices

Canola futures prices may test the lower end of a new range in 2023-24, says an analyst.

MarketsFarm’s Mike Jubinville thinks the new floor for canola is around $700 per tonne, which it hit towards the end of March before rebounding.

He thinks that number could be in the cards again because of a few bearish factors.

The first is the size of the 2022-23 crop, which Statistics Canada pegged at 18.1 million tonnes.

The agency has increased production of the previous five crops by an average of 700,000 tonnes between its December estimate and the final tally.

Jubinville believes that will be the case again this year. He thinks the actual size is closer to 18.6 million tonnes.

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LALEXPERT: Sclerotinia cycle and prophylactic methods

Video: LALEXPERT: Sclerotinia cycle and prophylactic methods

White rot, also known as sclerotinia, is a common agricultural fungal disease caused by various virulent species of Sclerotinia. It initially affects the root system (mycelium) before spreading to the aerial parts through the dissemination of spores.

Sclerotinia is undoubtedly a disease of major economic importance, and very damaging in the event of a heavy attack.

All these attacks come from the primary inoculum stored in the soil: sclerotia. These forms of resistance can survive in the soil for over 10 years, maintaining constant contamination of susceptible host crops, causing symptoms on the crop and replenishing the soil inoculum with new sclerotia.