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Canadian Farmers Benefiting From Low Dollar

The president of The Money Farm, out of Fargo, North Dakota, made a stop in Winnipeg earlier this month at the CropConnect Conference.
 
Mike Krueger talked about the effect the strong US dollar is having on agriculture.
 
"The strong [US] dollar really hurts the US producer because we're not competitive in export markets, and that I think has been probably the single biggest difference in terms of the economic melees among farmers south of the border and the relatively decent economic outlook for farmers up here," said Krueger.
 
Krueger says while US winter wheat acres are down over three million acres this year, he's also expecting to see a drop in spring wheat acres of at least a million acres.
 
Source : Portageonline

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Did Bears Win Thanksgiving, Will Bulls Get Christmas?

Video: Did Bears Win Thanksgiving, Will Bulls Get Christmas?


Did the bears win Thanksgiving (although this week had green on the screen), and will the bulls get Christmas? Bears won thanksgiving thanks to a USDA Nov crop report dud that stalled the bullish grain momentum for a brief period. But a bullish lower yield surprise in the Dec crop report could reignite the rally.
2026 U.S. winter wheat planting is nearly complete at 97% while crop conditions improved by 3 points to 48% good-to-excellent. US corn & soybean harvest is complete.
High corn demand, which is off the chart, and more Chinese soybean demand could support a Christmas rally.
Nasdaq had it’s worst November since 2011.
A U.S. Fed rate cut in December will help fund flow and sentiment.
Bitcoin held a long-term support at 80,000 and that's positive for fund flow and sentiment. It should help stock prices and Ag as we go into December.
Fertilizer prices continue to climb as we look ahead to 2026. Farmers may rely more on the nutrients that they already have in their soils.
South American Weather remains critical as the soybean reproductive stage starts from late Nov to late Feb depending on planting date.
Will a Russia-Ukraine peace deal happen by year-end?
CFTC data as of showed more managed money fund sell-off as of October 14th.