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CFA Comments On Ratification Of CETA

 
The Canadian Federation of Agriculture (CFA) was very pleased to see that the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) has been approved by the European Union's parliament on Wednesday. 
 
Implementation legislation in Canada is also expected to receive Parliamentary approval in short order.
 
Trade between the two sides amounts to more than $63 billion a year, and the CETA deal is expected to boost this by 20 per cent by removing almost all tariffs. Immediately upon implementation this agreement should help to improve real and profitable market access for Canadian agriculture and agricultural food exporters throughout the EU's, which represents a market of more than 500 million consumers.
 
Moving forward, CFA stresses that to allow the sector to fully take advantage of the deal, the Canadian government needs to ensure that transportation, regulatory, labour and other constraints in agriculture are addressed and the introduction of any non-tariff barriers is avoided.
 
The CFA will continue to emphasize that dairy producers should be compensated to fully mitigate the EU's new access that allows it to sell 17,000 tonnes of cheese into the Canadian market.
 
CFA calls for the government to continue its balanced trade approach that strengthens and supports all of the commodities that make up Canada's diverse agricultural sector.
 
Source : Canadian Federation of Agriculture

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Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?

Video: Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?


Historically, the USDA December crop report is a non-event or another dud report as the USDA reserves any final supply changes to the final report in January of the following year in this case 2026. But after the longest U.S. government shutdown in history at 43 days and no October crop report will they provide more data/surprise and make an exception?
Our China U.S. soybean purchase tracker is now at 26.6% or a total of 3.2 mmt but for traders it’s taking too long to unfold.
The final Stats Canada production report was bearish canola and wheat projection a record crop in both (it adds to the global glut of supplies) and bullish local corn and soybean prices in Ontario/Quebec thanks to a drought. It will not help the fund flow short-term, the USDA may need to offset it?
A U.S. Fed interest rate cut of another 25-basis point next Wednesday (probability 87.1%) could help fund flow and sentiment in stock and ag commodities into year end.
More inflows into Bitcoin this past week saw prices rebound back above 90,000 with support at 82,000 and resistance at 96,000.
A V-shaped bottom in cattle suggest the lows are in after Mexico reported another new world screwworm case. Lower weights, seasonal demand and higher U.S. beef select/choice values with a continued closure of the Mexican border to cattle will result in a resumption of higher cattle futures into yearend.
Australia is expected to produce its 3rd largest wheat crop ever at 36 mmt adding to the global glut of supplies.
Reports of ASF in hogs in Spain the largest pork exporter in Europe could see the U.S. win more pork export business long-term.
If the rains verify into next week of 3-5 inches for Brazil it would go a long way to fixing the dry regions from the last 2-months, but the European weather model has been wrong for the past 2-months!
Natural gas futures are surging to the 3rd price count as frigid hold temps set in.
CDN $ is also surging to end the week on a very resilient economy and better employment numbers suggesting no interest rate cuts next week.
Finally, the CFTC report showed funds were net buyers of soybeans but sellers of corn, canola and wheat. In real time the funds have gone back to selling as they take some profits.