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Dalhousie Professor Says Oil Price War Impacting Farmers

The recent drop in oil prices will impact the entire agri-food market.
 
That from Dalhousie University Professor Dr. Sylvain Charlebois.
 
"As soon as oil actually suffers, it does have an impact on everything else at farmgate," he said. "You can see right now, grains, livestock, they're all struggling. Many farmers were expecting a good year but everything is in limbo."
 
He talked about what impact the COVID-19 pandemic and oil price war could have on food prices.
 
"Conditions are favourable to a decrease in food inflation, but the Canadian dollar remains the wildcard and right now the Canadian dollar is just being pounded by markets as a result of what's happening with oil prices. In a few days, or perhaps in a week from now, food importers may have to pay way more for produce and grocery items that are processed outside our borders. Eventually, food distributors, grocers, would have to pass on extra costs to consumers."
 
Charlebois says the next few weeks and how we handle this situation will be critical.
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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.