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Ethanol Production Slumps as Stocks Swell

By John Perkins

Ethanol production moved modestly lower last week as stocks hit a more than twenty-week high.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration says production averaged 1.048 million barrels a day, down 11,000 on the week, but up 113,000 on the year.

Iowa State University’s Center for Agricultural and Rural Development says margins did decline and ended the year well below the highs, but stayed above the cost of production.

The Renewable Fuels Association says the volume of gasoline supplied to the market was the lowest since February and net inputs by refiners and blenders hit a 45-week low, indicating slower consumer demand.

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Iran War = “Trend is Your Friend” Short-Term BUT……

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Historically wars like the 2026 Iran war are bullish hard assets like grains, metals and energy! The funds are spooked and do not want to be short, but do they price in the news over time, similar to the Ukraine/Russian war that started on Feb. 24, 2022? A closure of the Strait of Hormuz is the key to the surge in crude oil, natural gas prices and fertilizer prices.  Grains are breaking out to new contract highs as a hedge against inflation.