Farms.com Home   News

Trade Consultant Expects Soybean Exports To Remain Strong

An international trade consultant says enormous soybean demand will continue even through what could be a record U.S. harvest.

"This time of the year in August, we're normally not selling a whole lot because it's prime time for South America," said John Baize of Falls Church, Virginia, "but this year, late in the season here, we're seeing fantastic demand for U.S. soy."

For the first time ever, Baize says a million tons of soybeans were exported in one week this month. And the USDA reported Monday that more than 900,000 tons were inspected for export this past week. South America had a short crop, said Baize, while the U.S., with big crops in 2014 and 2015, has had soybeans, with the ability to move them to ports.

"So we had a lot of soybeans to move, and we've been able to do that," Baize told Brownfield Ag News. "We're talking about a carryout this year that's only about a 19 day supply, which is very small."

Global demand for soybeans is growing at a rate of about 12 million tons a year, said Baize.

"People around the world have more money in their pockets, they want to eat a better quality diet, so they're eating more pork, particularly in China, but also in Vietnam and other places," he said. "But also [there's] growth in poultry demand around the world and increasingly, more soy is being fed to farm raised fish."

Click here to see more...

Trending Video

Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”

Video: Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”


After a week of a U.S./China trade truce, markets/trade is skeptical that we have not seen a signed agreement nor heard much from China or seen any details. There are rumors that China is buying soybean futures & not the physical. Trust in Trump?
12 MMT of U.S. soybean purchases by China by year-end is better than 0 but we all need to give it more time and give it a chance to unfold. China did lower the tariffs on Ag and is buying U.S. wheat and sorghum.
U.S. supreme court could rule against Trumps tariffs, but the Trump administration does have a plan B.
U.S. government shutdown is now the longest in history at 38 days.
But despite a U.S. government shutdown we will be getting a USDA November crop report next Friday and it could be “game changing.” If the USDA provides a bullish surprise with lower U.S. corn and soybean yields and ending stocks that are lower than expected both corn and soybean futures will break out above their ceilings at $4.35/bu and $11.35/bu respectively.
The funds continued their selling in live and feeder cattle futures on continued fears that the Trump administration want to lower U.S. beef prices. The fundamentals have not changed, only market psychology has.
Stocks markets continue to worry about a weak U.S. job market, but you can blame ChatGPT for that. In the future, we will have a more efficient, productive and growing economy with a higher unemployment rate until we have more skilled AI workers.
After 34 new record highs in the S & P 500 and 124 new records in the NASDAQ in 2025 we are back to a correction and investor profit taking as AI valuations may have gotten too stretched near-term ahead of NVDA’s 3rd quarter earnings announcement on Nov. 19th. But this is not an AI bubble.
75% of Tesla shareholders approved a $1 trillion pay package for Elon Musk!
It has rained in South America in the last 7 days, but both the American and European models agree that Central Brazil remains dry in the next 14-days!