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USDA Supply And Demand Estimates Report.




USDA Released the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates Report at 12 pm EST today.

Report Highlights

USDA’s lowered 2012/13 domestic ending stocks estimates for corn and wheat, anticipating solid demand.

U.S. wheat ending stocks are seen at 716 million bushels, compared to 754 million a month ago and 743 million a year ago, raising projections for seed, and feed and residual use. Estimates ranged from 637 million to 792 million bushels, for an average of 743 million. The average farm price is estimated at $7.65 to $8.15 per bushel, compared to December’s range of $7.70 to $8.30.

Domestic corn ending stocks are expected to be 602 million bushels, compared to 647 million last month and 989 million last year, due to an increased feed and residual use guess cancelling out a larger crop estimate and a lowered export projection. Before the report, the average guess was 667 million bushels, in a range of 489 million to 764 million. The average farm price is estimated at $6.80 to $8.00 per bushel, unchanged from December.

U.S. soybean ending stocks came out at 135 million bushels, up from the 130 million in December but down from the 169 million from this time last year. Analysts’ projections ran from 107 million to 178 million bushels, for an average of 135 million. That’s with USDA raising last year’s production total, cancelling out increased expectations for crush and residual use. The average farm price is estimated at $13.50 to $15.00 per bushel, compared to December’s range of $13.55 to $15.55.

USDA’s next set of supply and demand estimates are out February 8.



Here is a Full Coverage OF USDA WASDE Report

WASDE: Corn yield Production increase 55 Million Bushels

WASDE: Projected U.S. wheat ending stocks are lowered 38 million bushels

WASDE: U.S. Cotton Estimates Include Lower Production And Higher Offtake

WASDE: U.S. Oilseed Production For 2012/13 Is Estimated Up 1.4 Million Tons


WASDE: 2012/13 Rice Crop Is Estimated Up 0.9 Million


WASDE: The 2013 Forecast Reflecting Greater Beef, Pork, Broiler, & Turkey Production.



USDA's Other reports


USDA: Crop Production Report


USDA: Grain Stocks Report


USDA: Export Sales Report


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Trending Video

Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?

Video: Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?


Historically, the USDA December crop report is a non-event or another dud report as the USDA reserves any final supply changes to the final report in January of the following year in this case 2026. But after the longest U.S. government shutdown in history at 43 days and no October crop report will they provide more data/surprise and make an exception?
Our China U.S. soybean purchase tracker is now at 26.6% or a total of 3.2 mmt but for traders it’s taking too long to unfold.
The final Stats Canada production report was bearish canola and wheat projection a record crop in both (it adds to the global glut of supplies) and bullish local corn and soybean prices in Ontario/Quebec thanks to a drought. It will not help the fund flow short-term, the USDA may need to offset it?
A U.S. Fed interest rate cut of another 25-basis point next Wednesday (probability 87.1%) could help fund flow and sentiment in stock and ag commodities into year end.
More inflows into Bitcoin this past week saw prices rebound back above 90,000 with support at 82,000 and resistance at 96,000.
A V-shaped bottom in cattle suggest the lows are in after Mexico reported another new world screwworm case. Lower weights, seasonal demand and higher U.S. beef select/choice values with a continued closure of the Mexican border to cattle will result in a resumption of higher cattle futures into yearend.
Australia is expected to produce its 3rd largest wheat crop ever at 36 mmt adding to the global glut of supplies.
Reports of ASF in hogs in Spain the largest pork exporter in Europe could see the U.S. win more pork export business long-term.
If the rains verify into next week of 3-5 inches for Brazil it would go a long way to fixing the dry regions from the last 2-months, but the European weather model has been wrong for the past 2-months!
Natural gas futures are surging to the 3rd price count as frigid hold temps set in.
CDN $ is also surging to end the week on a very resilient economy and better employment numbers suggesting no interest rate cuts next week.
Finally, the CFTC report showed funds were net buyers of soybeans but sellers of corn, canola and wheat. In real time the funds have gone back to selling as they take some profits.