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Grain farmers in Ontario will benefit from Canada’s federal budget

Canada will invest nearly $30 million into agricultural marketing

By Diego Flammini, Farms.com

Two days ago Canada’s Minister of Finance Joe Oliver released the federal budget for 2015. Many industries are set to benefit from it and agriculture is no exception.

Grain Farmers of Ontario are especially pleased to hear that the Lifetime Capital Gains Exemption for farm owners will be increased to $1 million. Fishing businesses are also eligible for the $1 million exemption.

“The increase in the Lifetime Capital Gains Exemption will be of great benefit to all farmers,” said Mark Brock, Chair, Grain Farmers of Ontario. “Increasing land prices have resulted in farmers disposing of their assets for significantly higher prices than they originally paid, and the Exemption will help ensure investment back into the farm.”

The Lifetime Capital Gains Exemption encourages farmers to invest in farming and fishing ventures and will help owners in saving for retirement. Market access expansion will help Ontario’s agriculture discover new markets and develop trade agreements around the world.

“The competitiveness of Ontario grains is essential to a healthy and growing Ontario grain industry,” said Brock. “Ontario grains are high quality and in high demand around the world. We look forward to expanding and diversifying markets and further capitalizing on opportunities domestically and internationally with funding provided by this budget.”

Other agricultural initiatives outlined in the federal budget include:

  • Committing $18.1 million over two years, starting in 2016-17 to promote competitiveness and trade opportunities for the agriculture and agri-food sector.
  • Providing an additional $12 million over two years, starting in 2016–17, to market Canadian agricultural and agri-food products around the world.

The Ontario government will release their provincial budget later today.

Join the conversation and tell us your thoughts about the Canadian government’s investments into the country’s agricultural sector.

Canada's Minister of Finance, Joe Oliver.
Canada's Minister of Finance, Joe Oliver.


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2025 USDA December Crop Report a “Dud” + Trump $12 Billion U.S. Farm Aid

Video: 2025 USDA December Crop Report a “Dud” + Trump $12 Billion U.S. Farm Aid


The USDA December crop report was friendly corn, neutral soybeans and bearish wheat. The USDA did surprise and increase the 25/26 U.S. corn export forecast to a new record high at 3.2 billion bushels now up 12% vs. last year vs. prior at +9% vs. the export pace to date up 30% the best in 10 years even higher than 20/21! The USDA left the 25/26 U.S. soybean export pace unchanged at 1.635 billion bushels. Higher global wheat supplies will remain a weight and headwind for wheat into year end and start of 2026.
Mexico is now the #1 buyer of U.S. corn, soybeans (usually China), wheat and pork!
USDA also released its long-term early projections but expect more changes by February of 2026.
Trump announces a $12 billion U.S. farmer aid package to be paid out by February 28, 2026. This helps no one but the ag banks, farm equipment companies, seed and fertilizer companies. It does prevent more farmer bushels from being sold near-term but is not bullish grain prices long-term. The Trump administration should focus on increasing U.S. domestic demand and propping up grain futures so farmers can cover their higher costs, up since COVID of 2020.
The China U.S. soybean purchase tracker now stands at 4.521 mmt or 38% of the 12 mmt promised by China at year end or is it end of February or the growing season? Why the discrepancy vs. the fact sheet. The optics are poor for the Trump administration.
After surging to contract highs U.S. natural gas futures plunged over 30+% in just 5-trading days!
Silver traded to new record highs as the debasement and de dollarization trade continued but technicals remain overbought near-term.
Soybean futures remained in correction mode after the funds went record long futures on Nov. 19 +233,000 contracts but the $10.80 support should hold into year end when the fund profit taking/liquidation comes to an end from the year end, end of month and end of quarter selling.
The U.S. Fed cut interest rates for the 3rd time by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50 – 3.75% and they will only cut one more time in 2026 and once in 20267/ but when Powell is gone next April the replacement is willing to cut more aggressively and we could see U.S. interest rates fall to 2.0% very bullish for ag and stocks as it could reignite inflation into 2027.
After 2 months of being drier than normal in Brazil the rains have finally arrived for the 1st half of December, and a record crop is still in the cards but if this pattern continues and verifies it could start to delay the harvest. Argentina after being too wet has turned dry but they are too small, compared top Brazil in the grand picture.
The Canadian dollar surged to $0.73 after better-than-expected employment data with 180,000 new jobs in the past 3-months and 3rd quarter GDP at +2.6% but this could be short-lived.
The latest CFTC report as of 11-19-2025 reported a record long fund position in soybeans at +233,000 contracts when 2026 March soybean futures peaked on 11-19-25 at $11.724/bu.