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Saskatchewan farmers face hay shortage

Saskatchewan farmers face hay shortage

Weather challenges resulted in low yields for the second year in a row

By Michelle Jones

Producers across southern Saskatchewan are experiencing low hay yields, which is leaving some farmers without much feed for the winter.

Greg Kistner, who farms in the Bethune, Sask. area, grows and sells hay. Hail was a big problem for crops this year, he said.

“We had some hail come through, which damaged a lot of crops in the area. And the shelf cloud that came over Craven, (Sask.) in July was really bad,” he said.

Luckily, Kistner wasn’t too affected by the stormy weather conditions that plagued Saskatchewan this summer. Other farmers weren’t as fortunate.

Because of the crop damage from hail and several severe thunderstorms over the summer, we will see lower hay yields again this year .

Hay producers are averaging around a half a bale per acre this year, which is down considerably from previous years, Kistner estimated.

Most farmers try to have at least a year’s worth of feed to cover a bad year, but the weather conditions over the last two years have made this common strategy a challenge.

In the spring, farmers experienced a hay shortage, so they were really depending on a good growing season.

“Unfortunately, we’ve had two dry growing seasons, so a lot of cattle-only farmers are out of feed and are being forced to sell. No cattle means no income, so they don’t have a choice but to close down their operations,” Kistner said.

“Farming is hard on the nerves. It’s a ‘next year’ type of job. You have to look to next year and hope for a better growing season.”


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USDA also released its long-term early projections but expect more changes by February of 2026.
Trump announces a $12 billion U.S. farmer aid package to be paid out by February 28, 2026. This helps no one but the ag banks, farm equipment companies, seed and fertilizer companies. It does prevent more farmer bushels from being sold near-term but is not bullish grain prices long-term. The Trump administration should focus on increasing U.S. domestic demand and propping up grain futures so farmers can cover their higher costs, up since COVID of 2020.
The China U.S. soybean purchase tracker now stands at 4.521 mmt or 38% of the 12 mmt promised by China at year end or is it end of February or the growing season? Why the discrepancy vs. the fact sheet. The optics are poor for the Trump administration.
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Silver traded to new record highs as the debasement and de dollarization trade continued but technicals remain overbought near-term.
Soybean futures remained in correction mode after the funds went record long futures on Nov. 19 +233,000 contracts but the $10.80 support should hold into year end when the fund profit taking/liquidation comes to an end from the year end, end of month and end of quarter selling.
The U.S. Fed cut interest rates for the 3rd time by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50 – 3.75% and they will only cut one more time in 2026 and once in 20267/ but when Powell is gone next April the replacement is willing to cut more aggressively and we could see U.S. interest rates fall to 2.0% very bullish for ag and stocks as it could reignite inflation into 2027.
After 2 months of being drier than normal in Brazil the rains have finally arrived for the 1st half of December, and a record crop is still in the cards but if this pattern continues and verifies it could start to delay the harvest. Argentina after being too wet has turned dry but they are too small, compared top Brazil in the grand picture.
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