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Tariff Pause, Court Battles & Stalled China Talks Weigh on U.S. Leverage as Markets Watch for July Weather Risks

Video: Tariff Pause, Court Battles & Stalled China Talks Weigh on U.S. Leverage as Markets Watch for July Weather Risks


Trump has paused the proposed 50% tariffs on EU goods until July 9, the reciprocal tariff deadline. However, three U.S. International Trade Court judges initially blocked the move, calling it illegal—though an appeal has temporarily reinstated the tariffs pending a Supreme Court decision. Meanwhile, China trade talks have stalled, weakening U.S. leverage and potentially delaying future deals. In the U.S. Midwest, heavy rainfall (123% of normal) through mid-June is pressuring grain markets, with hopes for a June weather scare likely pushed into July. In contrast, Western Canada is facing a hot, dry three-month outlook with active wildfires—similar to 2023—which could impact final yield potential.
 
 

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Kansas Wheat Harvest 2026 | Three John Deere S7 700 Combines in Action

Video: Kansas Wheat Harvest 2026 | Three John Deere S7 700 Combines in Action

Kansas Wheat Harvest 2026 is underway near Alden, Kansas!

In this video, I spend time with Frederick Harvesting, a custom harvesting operation based in Alden, Kansas. Back at their home farm, three new John Deere S7 700 combines equipped with John Deere HDF40 draper heads work through a drought-stricken winter wheat crop while one of the farm's John Deere 8R 370 tractors pulls a Brent 1398 grain cart.

Most of the Frederick Harvesting crew was already busy cutting wheat in southwest Kansas, but these machines remained at home to finish up local fields. Throughout the video, I explain what is happening, discuss the effects of dry conditions on the crop, and capture plenty of aerial footage showing the combines working with the grain elevator at Alden in the background.