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Talking Trade: Strong Trade Policies And Market Development Efforts Will Be Critical In 2017

With a record crop year in the books, U.S. farmers are now turning their sights to the 2017 planting season. And while there are still many unknowns - weather, crop yields, market fluctuations and a new political environment - one thing is certain: strong trade policies and dedicated market development will be critical to their success.

Why? The biggest potential for growth that will support markets for U.S. agriculture is abroad. With more than 95 percent of the world’s consumers living outside the United States, world markets are evolving and changing continually. And winning these sales requires engagement on a global scale.

Trade policy and market development are the core of the U.S. Grains Council's (USGC) efforts to build demand overseas for U.S. feed grains and related products like ethanol.

These markets are critical to the success of the entire grains sector. In fact, according to a recent analysis done for USGC and the National Corn Growers Association (NCGA), the export of grain and grain products in 2014 generated more than $80 billion in economic output, supporting more than 370,000 jobs. Nationally, agricultural exports are worth more than $130 billion a year, offer 30 percent of farm income and support 1 million jobs.

In the new year, this means a continued focus on:

Strong trade policy: trade agreements open the door for U.S. farmers and agribusiness to new markets, putting their products on par with others available around the world. In fact, in calendar year 2015, U.S. agricultural exports to the countries with which the United States has free trade agreements accounted for 43 percent of total U.S. agricultural exports, according to USDA data. USGC is strongly engaged in negotiating new trade policies and ensuring agreements we have with other countries and through global bodies like the World Trade Organization (WTO) keep U.S. products moving where they are demanded.

Engaging with global customers: trade policy paves the way for market development efforts that directly engage customers and show them the value and logic of buying from the United States. For USGC, this means working one-on-one with buyers through trade teams, providing information and offering local capacity building assistance wherever there is demand for U.S. grains. This work is critical to sustaining the momentum seen in strong grain exports over the last several months of 2016.

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Joe Janzen and Scott Irwin of the University of Illinois provided an in-depth analysis of the grain market outlook for 2024, including price forecasts, global supply and demand trends, and marketing implications for corn and soybean producers.

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Review of 2023/24 USDA February WASDE report results Old and new crop corn and soybean balance sheet forecasts Export sales pace comparisons to previous years South American soybean production estimates Impact of input costs and interest rates on marketing Benchmarking farm-level marketing performance As grain prices face downward pressure in 2024, the presenters emphasized the importance of having an active marketing plan in place, rather than a 'store and ignore' approach. They provided insight into strategies for forward contracting, making new crop sales, and capturing opportunities in a volatile market environment.

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