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Watch videos about everything to do with the commodity marketing industry. See experts discuss trends in corn, soybeans, wheat, canola, cattle, Class III milk, hogs, crude oil, natural gas, cotton, and other commodities. These videos offer analyses on current and future markets and top tips on how to make your farm more profitable. Learn how to choose the best commodity to plant or raise on your farm.

U.S.-China Trade “Truce” + U.S. Fed Cuts Rates Again

The market was hoping for a US-China trade deal, but we got a trade “truce” for now from the keenly awaited Trump-Xi meeting at the APEC Summit. China commits to minimum purchase commitments of 12 MMT of U.S. soybeans during the “current season” and a minimum of 25 MMT annually through 2028. U... More ›

China/U.S. Trade Deal or No Trade Deal? Is China buying under the Radar?

The U.S. has confirmed a meeting with Trump and Xi on October 30th, 2025, in Busan, South Korea. There have been rumors that China is buying soybeans from the PNW under the radar while the U.S. government is shutdown. Trump wants to import 4 times more Argentina beef to lower high sky U.S. b... More ›

Markets Continue to Chase Chinese Trade Headlines

The U.S./China trade war has escalated after Trump threatened to slap 100% Tariff on China by Nov. 1 after China placed some export restrictions on rare earth minerals. But Trump overstepped/overreacted but the meeting with Xi at the end of the month was still on even after Trump threatened Chi... More ›

Let’s NOT Make U S Soybeans Great Again!

Trump cancels Xi meeting in South Korea at the end of the month as China has become hostile on rare earth minerals. We would not be surprised if Trump were to retaliate again with 145% tariff on China on the Nov. 10th pause deadline. China has pulled the rug under U.S. farmers again. It’s the 1... More ›

Trump-Xi Meeting in 4 Weeks BULLISH + USDA Sept 1 Stocks Report Bearish!

Trump's post about a meeting with XI in 4-weeks with the main topic of discussion the soybean trade was bullish offsetting a bearish USDA Sept. 1 Quarterly Grain Stocks Report that found 200 million more bushels of old crop 24/25 U.S. corn bushels. The U.S. government shutdown is just more nois... More ›

Cheap Argentine Soybean Exports This Week + “Safe Haven” Trade Momentum

Argentina suspended agro-export taxes early this week, from 26%, to increase their US dollar reserves. It lasted for 3 days by which time Argentina raised $7 bil. This came at the wrong time as the US & China are working towards agreeing to a trade deal. Cheap soybean supply from Argentina work... More ›

U.S.-China TRADE DEAL OR NO TRADE DEAL + Lower U.S./Canada Interest Rates Impact

Trump/Xi had a productive call today on trade, fentanyl, an end to the Ukraine/Russia war and TikTok but it looks like Chinese tariffs will have to be extended for an additional 90-days to mid-February of 2026 as Trump may not visit China until early 2026 and Xi will make a U.S. visit thereafter... More ›

Neutral USDA 2025 September Crop Report + Triple 40’s in North Dakota

USDA crop progress reports showing IA corn at 80% G-E and WS at 82% G-E is overstating the crops condition. Farmers harvested soybeans in ECB on Sept. 9th at 16% moisture.... More ›

Japan Trade Deal = Win for Farmers + Black Swan in 2025 US Yields + Start of 89-Year Drought Cycle for 2026?

$8 billion trade deal with Japan to but U.S. corn, soybeans and ethanol was a WIN for farmers. The U.S. courts ruling that made Trumps reciprocal tariffs illegal is a short-term set back for future investments and trade deals? Southern rust in Iowa is so severe that it has covered 60-70% o... More ›

US “Flash Drought” Worst in 133-160 Years + Disease taking a Bite out of US 2025 Corn/Soybean Crops

A dry August and a “flash drought” in the ECB (Eastern Corn Belt) the driest top 10 to 15 years in 150 to 160 years (Ohio the driest in 133 years) plus disease is taking a bite out of the 2025 U.S. corn and soybean crops. It's going to be an early harvest. This could be the start of the 89-ye... More ›

Connecting the Dots = Phase 2 China-U S Trade Deal by Mid Nov + Drought in Ontario!

If we read between the lines and connect the dots Trump may have a Phase 2 trade deal in his back pocket. 2025 Pro Framer crop tour results and 2025 Great Ontario Yield Tour drought. EPA announcement on lower biofuel waivers is bullish demand, RIN prices and soy oil futures. Talk of a U... More ›

USDA Shock/Surprises Markets in August Crop Report + Houston we have a problem in Ontario!

USDA August crop report shocked with higher U.S. crop yields and big changes in acres, but will diseases like Southern Rust in corn especially in Iowa take away? If Trump gave China the AI chips it wanted, does China finally step in to buy U.S. soybeans and does Trump have a Phase 2 trade dea... More ›

Will USDA Shock Markets in August Crop Report + Does Too Much Rain Make Grain

USDA August crop reports could surprise next week. It was plenty wet for the U.S. Midwest from May – July with Iowa receiving 200% of normal precip in July so is too much rain too much of a good thing? Another Derecho hit Eastern Montana, ND and Western Minnesota this week. Trump and Pu... More ›

U.S. Tariffs Aug. 1 Deadline + No Crop Weather Risk

It's U.S. tariffs deadline today & new U.S. tariffs are weighing on markets. No real crop weather risk in the grain markets. U.S. Fed and Bank of Canada keep interest rates unchanged..... for now. Tech giants double down on their AI commitments. Lowest US cow herd in recent history i... More ›

U.S. Midwest Corn Pollination is Widespread in 13+ U.S. States!

The U.S. corn pollination issue has legs as it continues to expand across 13+ states. More talk/concerns over disease such as tar spot/southern rust and the top end of the U.S. corn yield may have been lost. The “heat dome” from last week was a bust with long-term forecast cool/wet. 2 m... More ›

U.S. Midwest Heat + U.S. corn Pollination Issues = Fund Short Covering Rally

A high-pressure ridge “Heat Dome” is forecast for mid next week over the heart of the U.S. corn Belt, U.S. corn pollination issues from early April planted corn and high nighttime temps from the last 30 days. More rain is forecast for the Canadian Prairies over the next 2-weeks from 1-3 inches. ... More ›

USDA Crop Reports/Trade Deals a Bust + Monster U.S. Corn Crop = Lower Prices

StoneX projects a monster U.S. 2025 corn yield at 186.9 bpa, while the USDA provided no big surprises in the July crop report. A lack of U.S. trade deals/ag purchase agreements after 3-months but rather an escalation/threat in tariffs with 30% to Japan, 25% on South Korea, 35% for Canada and ... More ›

End of June USDA Crop Reports a Dud, U S Corn Crop Conditions 73% G E, & Whisper on Trade Deals

No market-moving end-of-June USDA Acreage and quarterly stocks reports. U.S. corn crop conditions at 73% good-excellent has the trade talking above-average trendline yields at 183 – 190 bpa (2-5% above trend for 2025). Rumors that Trump in Iowa on Thursday evening could announce more trade d... More ›

Funds Ditch Ag Commodities, Chase Stocks Amid an End to Middle East War, & Trade Deal Buzz

The 12-day war between Iran-Israel came to an end sending crude oil futures plunging as the big fund speculators removed the war risk premium. The weather risk premium in the Ag complex is sending corn, wheat and soybean futures lower on month-end selling ahead of the market moving USDA quarter... More ›

Geo Political War Risk Premium — How Conflict is Fueling Commodity Prices

Rising tensions between Iran and Israel are driving crude oil and wheat futures higher, as the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz remain critical trade routes for oil, wheat, and fertilizer. Meanwhile, excessive rain in U.S. winter wheat regions, combined with drought in Europe, Russia, and Weste... More ›

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