Agrimart: Canada's farm commodity outlook good but not great

Jan 31, 2023

Canadian farmers should expect another good year for commodity prices, but not as good as the year just past.

Farm Credit Canada senior economist J.P. Gervais came to that conclusion in his annual farm outlook report.

“While 2022 brought its fair share of challenges for Canadian agriculture, one bright spot has been the healthy trend in farm cash receipts. We estimate they reached a record high of $94.5 billion in 2022, an increase of 14.1 per cent over 2021,” he said.

“Looking forward, we expect farm cash receipts to continue growing in 2023, although at a more moderate pace of 4.6 per cent. Robust farm cash receipts would be a positive development in 2023 to offset input costs that are anticipated to stay elevated throughout the year.’’

Breaking down cash receipts by region, Saskatchewan will have a 7.6 per cent increase to $29.24 billon — the highest of any region.

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Video: Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

A rapidly changing Midwest weather pattern is unfolding in 2026 as areas that recently slipped into abnormal dryness and flash drought conditions are now facing the threat of heavy rain and repeated storm systems.

After a wet spring erased early drought conditions, regions across Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and northern Missouri have quickly dried out again since mid-to-late May. Soil moisture is dropping fast, and crops like corn and soybeans are beginning to feel the stress of rising temperatures and lack of consistent rainfall. Now, weather models show a major shift.

A developing system moving in from the Northern Plains is expected to bring multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for locally heavy rainfall across the Midwest. While some areas may miss out, others could finally see much-needed relief from the growing dryness. In this video, we break down:

Current drought conditions across the Midwest

Why a flash drought is developing quickly

Timing and path of incoming storm systems

Which states are most likely to see heavy rain

How long this wet pattern could last

Will this rain end the drought or create new flooding risks? Watch the full forecast to find out.