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Canola Tumbles Hard

Canola futures were sharply lower on Thursday in the heaviest trading session in a number of weeks. There was significant weakness in the old-crop months, with new-crop positions seeing more modest declines.

Oilseed markets in general were pressured by a much better forecast for South America, where much-needed rain, along with cool temperatures, is expected over the weekend. Additional pressure came from much smaller losses in Malaysian palm oil, while a step back in global crude oil prices weighed on edible oils.

The Canadian dollar was slightly higher at the noon hour, which put more pressure on canola.

March canola fell $29.90 to $984.80, May was down $20.50 at $971.30 and new-crop November lost $4.20 to $795.80.

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.