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Climate Change Will Cut Corn Yields by a Quarter by 2030, NASA Says

By Megan Durisin

Global corn yields could sink by nearly a quarter by 2030 as climate change wreaks havoc on traditional weather patterns.

That’s according to a new international study from groups including the National Aeronautics and Space Administration and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Rising temperatures and shifts in rainfall will make it harder to grow the crop — a staple in global livestock rations — in areas like the Americas, west Africa and China. And the production cuts are occurring sooner than expected versus past studies.

“Even under optimistic climate change scenarios, where societies enact ambitious efforts to limit global temperature rise, global agriculture is facing a new climate reality,” lead author Jonas Jaegermeyr said in a statement. “And with the interconnectedness of the global food system, impacts in even one region’s breadbasket will be felt worldwide.”

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Why the Fertilizer Crisis Won’t End When the Iran War Does

Video: Why the Fertilizer Crisis Won’t End When the Iran War Does

The fertilizer crisis didn’t start with war — it revealed a system already under strain.

Seed World U.S. Editor Aimee Nielson breaks down what’s really happening in global fertilizer markets and why the impact on farmers may last far longer than current headlines suggest. Featuring insights from global fertilizer expert Melih Keyman and industry leaders Chris Abbott and Chris Turner, this conversation explores:

Why fertilizer supply was already tight before geopolitical disruption

What the Strait of Hormuz and global trade routes mean for input availability

How rising nitrogen prices are crushing farmer margins

Why this crisis could affect seed choices, crop mix and acreage decisions

The hidden risks around phosphate and sulfur supply

Why experts say this situation may get worse before it gets better

Even if tensions ease, the underlying issues — supply constraints, investment gaps and purchasing behavior — are still in play.

Watch to understand what this means for farmers, the seed industry and the future of global food production.