USDA 2025/26 U.S. Supply/Demand Estimates 'Net Neutral' for U.S. Farmers & Ag OEMs

Feb 27, 2025

USDA introduced its U.S. supply and demand estimates for 2025/26 crops on Feb. 27 during its annual Outlook Forum in Virginia.

Based on these initial estimates, J.P. Morgan's model suggests U.S. major crop cash receipts will total $119.7 billion in 2024/25, which is "flattish" year-over-year, said Tami Zakaria in a note to investors.

Overall, the report shows increases in ending stocks of U.S. wheat and corn and decreases in U.S. soybeans, which Zakaria says "is net neutral for U.S. farmers and for agriculture OEMs. Moreover, stocks-to-use (STU) ratios are seen expanding further for wheat/corn and compressing for soybeans in the U.S."

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Video: Learning to Wrench From Dad the Hard Way

Harvest is a week out and the farm picked this week to fall apart. The truck needs a battery, the barn curtain's got a problem, and the corn and beans are telling us we're out of time to get it all fixed.

So it's a full day of wrenching. Tork supervises while I get the truck back running, then we're out at the hog barn where one rusted up part has the whole curtain system hung up. Ladder work, cable work, and a little dad-and-son disagreement about the right way to do it. We close it out walking the fields, shelling beans and checking corn, because whether everything's fixed or not, harvest starts when harvest starts.

Chapters: 00:00 Everything breaks the week before harvest 01:00 Tork supervises while I fix the truck 12:30 Out to the barn to find the curtain problem 14:30 One rusty part hung up the whole curtain 20:00 Running the curtain cable from the ladder 24:00 Walking the beans and corn before harvest 26:30 Wrapping up

We're a 6th generation family farm in southeast Iowa showing the real ups and downs of pig farming and row crop farming. No script, just the work. Subscribe and follow along.

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