Saskatchewan Yield Estimates Mostly Above StatsCan

Sep 12, 2025

Provincial yield estimates released by the Saskatchewan government on Thursday suggest the likelihood of bigger than expected 2025 Prairie crops.

Except for canola, the province’s major crop yield estimates – based on conditions as of Monday – are universally higher than the projections released last month by Statistics Canada and based on conditions up until the end of July. Large parts of the Prairies were unfavourably dry through July, but better moisture in August provided a significant boost for many crops.

For example, the province is estimating this year’s average Saskatchewan durum yield at 38 bu/acre, above StatsCan’s August forecast of 33.4 bu. At 93 and 71 bu, the average expected oat and barley yields are up from StatsCan’s 91 and 61.8 bu, while the average spring wheat yield is seen at about 50 bu, versus 46.6 bu for StatsCan.

The average pea yield of 42 bu is more than 7 bu above the StatsCan estimate, with lentils, at 1,784 lbs/acre, up from 1,313 lbs. The province’s canary yield estimate of 1,343 lbs/acre is 264 lbs above StatsCan, the chickpea estimate is 370 lbs higher at 1,622 lbs, and mustard is 378 lbs higher at 1,141 lbs.

The province sees the average flax yield at 25 bu/acre, compared to 20.5 for StatsCan, and the average soybean yield at 40 bu/acre, far above 24.1 bu for StatsCan.

On the other hand, Saskatchewan estimated the average canola yield in the province at 39 bu/acre, down slightly from the federal agency’s projection of 40.3 bu.

StatsCan will release updated yield estimates next week, reflecting conditions as of the end of August.

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Video: Why Port Infrastructure is Key to Growing Canada's Farms and Economy

Grain Farmers of Ontario (GFO) knows that strong, modern port infrastructure is vital to the success of Canada’s agriculture. When our ports grow, Ontario grain farmers and Canadian farms grow too—and when we grow, Canada grows.

In this video, we highlight the importance of investing in port infrastructure and how these investments are key to growing Ontario agriculture and supporting global trade. The footage showcases the strength of both Ontario’s farming landscapes and vital port operations, including some key visuals from HOPA Ports, which we are grateful to use in this project.

Ontario’s grain farmers rely on efficient, sustainable ports and seaway systems to move grain to markets around the world. Port investments are crucial to increasing market access, driving economic growth, and ensuring food security for all Canadians.

Why Port Infrastructure Matters:

Investing in Ports = Investing in Farms: Modernized ports support the export of Canadian grain, driving growth in agriculture.

Sustainable Growth: Learn how stronger ports reduce environmental impact while boosting economic stability.

Global Trade Opportunities: Improved port and seaway systems help farmers access new global markets for their grain.

Stronger Communities: Investment in ports means more stable jobs and economic growth for rural communities across Ontario and Canada.

We are proud to support the ongoing investment in port infrastructure and to shine a light on its vital role in feeding the world and securing a prosperous future for Canadian agriculture.

Special thanks to HOPA Ports for providing some of the stunning port footage featured in this video.