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Simulations Show using Novel Wheat Genotypes Coupled with Deep Sowing can Increase Yields

Simulations Show using Novel Wheat Genotypes Coupled with Deep Sowing can Increase Yields

By Bob Yirka

A quartet of researchers with CSIRO Agriculture & Food in Australia has found via simulations that planting novel wheat genotypes using deep sowing could increase yields. In their paper published in the journal Nature Climate Change, Zhigan Zhao, Enli Wang, John Kirkegaard and Greg Rebetzke, describe how they used data from a variety of sources to create a simulation to show how wheat yields in Australia might be increased as conditions grow warmer and drier.

Most large-scale wheat farming operations, including those in Australia, are based on semi-dwarf varietals that were developed decades ago to increase yields. Such varieties increased yields because they were less prone to damage from wind and because they took less time to mature and were more responsive to fertilizer. But they have an Achilles heel—short coleoptiles.

Coleoptiles are sheathings that protect young shoots. The shortness means they need moist soil near the surface to survive. But as  progresses, soil near the surface grows warmer and drier. And because of that, scientists in Australia are worried that the semi-dwarf varieties will not grow under the increasingly hot sun found in Australia's wheat fields. The researchers with this new effort suggest the solution is clear—Australian wheat farmers need to switch to newer varieties of wheat—ones that have longer coleoptiles allowing them to reach down deeper into the soil where it is wetter. They also need to plant their crops earlier to allow them to mature before the hottest summer weather arrives.

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Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

Video: Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

A rapidly changing Midwest weather pattern is unfolding in 2026 as areas that recently slipped into abnormal dryness and flash drought conditions are now facing the threat of heavy rain and repeated storm systems.

After a wet spring erased early drought conditions, regions across Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and northern Missouri have quickly dried out again since mid-to-late May. Soil moisture is dropping fast, and crops like corn and soybeans are beginning to feel the stress of rising temperatures and lack of consistent rainfall. Now, weather models show a major shift.

A developing system moving in from the Northern Plains is expected to bring multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for locally heavy rainfall across the Midwest. While some areas may miss out, others could finally see much-needed relief from the growing dryness. In this video, we break down:

Current drought conditions across the Midwest

Why a flash drought is developing quickly

Timing and path of incoming storm systems

Which states are most likely to see heavy rain

How long this wet pattern could last

Will this rain end the drought or create new flooding risks? Watch the full forecast to find out.