Farms.com Home   News

What's Causing Beef Markets to Spike? Livestock Marketing Information Center's Jim Robb Explains

Four weeks in a row now, producers have watched cash cattle prices climb higher, as much as $20, with the highest price levels since August 2015. Wholesale boxed beef trade also performing well lately, up over $1600 cwt last week alone, and starting this week another $2-3 cwt higher on choice and select box beef trade. Radio Oklahoma Ag Network Farm Director Ron Hays spoke with Jim Robb of the Livestock Marketing Information Center to get a handle on what is causing this unprecedented upward movement in the market.
 
What's Causing Beef Markets to Spike? Livestock Marketing Information Center's Jim Robb Explains
 
“The reasons we’ve had this rally are largely tied to our marketing rate,” he answered pointing to the needs of packers and a very current market situation. “The other thing we’ve had this year that has added on - a lot of hedged cattle this year.”
 
Robb continued describing more or less a chain reaction in the market from the hedging that impacted the basis, causing a rally in the futures which led more cattle being sold to packers early on rather than being delayed. But Robb says patterns like this tend not to perpetuate. According to him, this feels like a spike in the market more than anything, noting that if you dig deeper, volume numbers seemed to evaporate.
Click here to see more...

Trending Video

Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”

Video: Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”


After a week of a U.S./China trade truce, markets/trade is skeptical that we have not seen a signed agreement nor heard much from China or seen any details. There are rumors that China is buying soybean futures & not the physical. Trust in Trump?
12 MMT of U.S. soybean purchases by China by year-end is better than 0 but we all need to give it more time and give it a chance to unfold. China did lower the tariffs on Ag and is buying U.S. wheat and sorghum.
U.S. supreme court could rule against Trumps tariffs, but the Trump administration does have a plan B.
U.S. government shutdown is now the longest in history at 38 days.
But despite a U.S. government shutdown we will be getting a USDA November crop report next Friday and it could be “game changing.” If the USDA provides a bullish surprise with lower U.S. corn and soybean yields and ending stocks that are lower than expected both corn and soybean futures will break out above their ceilings at $4.35/bu and $11.35/bu respectively.
The funds continued their selling in live and feeder cattle futures on continued fears that the Trump administration want to lower U.S. beef prices. The fundamentals have not changed, only market psychology has.
Stocks markets continue to worry about a weak U.S. job market, but you can blame ChatGPT for that. In the future, we will have a more efficient, productive and growing economy with a higher unemployment rate until we have more skilled AI workers.
After 34 new record highs in the S & P 500 and 124 new records in the NASDAQ in 2025 we are back to a correction and investor profit taking as AI valuations may have gotten too stretched near-term ahead of NVDA’s 3rd quarter earnings announcement on Nov. 19th. But this is not an AI bubble.
75% of Tesla shareholders approved a $1 trillion pay package for Elon Musk!
It has rained in South America in the last 7 days, but both the American and European models agree that Central Brazil remains dry in the next 14-days!