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China planning to resume U.S. soy imports

China planning to resume U.S. soy imports

Import volumes could reach 8 million tons, a Chinese government official said

By Diego Flammini
Staff Writer
Farms.com

Ships carrying U.S. soybeans could begin sailing to China soon.

The Chinese State Council or cabinet will have the final word on when the country resumes imports of American soybeans, and how much of the commodity China will receive.

Government officials are debating if China should import 5 million tons or 8 million tons. They are also discussing if commercial companies should import an additional 2 million tons and receive reimbursement for the 25 percent tariffs, a government official said, Bloomberg reported.

Details are still unclear if the shipments will resume this month and be taxed, or if they’ll begin after a tariff reduction.

Last year, China accounted for 57 percent of U.S. soybean exports, worth about US$12.4 billion.

As of Oct. 2018, China had only imported about US$3.1 billion worth of U.S soybeans, the U.S. Census Bureau says.

News of any American soybeans arriving at Chinese ports is beneficial for the industry, said John Heisdorffer, chairman of the American Soybean Association.

“We couldn’t be more thrilled if China starts to accept our beans again,” he told Farms.com. “We’ve had almost zero beans going into China for the last three or four months. So, for there to be a little bit of hope that these trade talks appear to be successful is great for American soybean farmers.”

Soybean markets have responded positively to renewed trade discussions between China and the U.S.

After Presidents Jinping and Trump agreed to a trade truce during the G20 in Argentina, soybean prices jumped to US$9.19 per bushel.

Grain markets opened today at US$9.12 per bushel.


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Video: US “Flash Drought” Worst in 133-160 Years + Disease taking a Bite out of US 2025 Corn/Soybean Crops


A dry August and a “flash drought” in the ECB (Eastern Corn Belt) the driest top 10 to 15 years in 150 to 160 years (Ohio the driest in 133 years) plus disease is taking a bite out of the 2025 U.S. corn and soybean crops.
It's going to be an early harvest. This could be the start of the 89-year drought cycle that may have been delayed until 2026 as La Nina maybe returning.
The USDA September crop report is all about record corn ears and record soybean counts but the October USDA crop report will be about pod and ear weights.
Stats Canada reported higher forecasts for the 2025 Canadian Prairies all wheat and canola crops vs. last year based on satellite imagery but are they overestimating production?
The 2025 Great ON Yield Tour and Quebec crop tours are projecting corn and soybean crops below the 10-year average.
China's Vice Commerce Ministry Li Chenggang visits Washington this week as we continue to connect the dots is a positive sign towards a China/U.S. trade deal. But will U.S. farmers have a winter without China as they buy more soybeans from Uruguay/Argentina? U.S. Northern Plain soybean farmers are seeing red with flat prices at $8.97/bu!
U.S. corn exports on record pace up 99% vs. last year.
Fund short covering continues in corn futures bottom is in!