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Analysts’ view on place and time in the hog market

Places are where hogs are produced. Time is flow of hogs to market. Both are important for projecting harvest numbers, gauging currentness of hog supplies and identifying regional supply and demand differences. A quarterback trying to complete a pass needs to consider a receiver’s location (place) and speed (time) to anticipate where the receiver will be. Similarly, pork producers can use place and time information to guide production and marketing decisions.

The place aspect of hog market reporting involves collecting and disseminating data based on specific geographic locations to reflect regional market differences. The U.S. Department of Agriculture publishes reports that include data for individual states and major hog producing regions.

The time aspect of hog market reporting involves publishing data daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly and annually to track market fluctuations, cycles and trends over time. USDA reports can vary widely in their time focus. Some provide historical data. Others offer future projections. Many provide both history and forecasts for comprehensive analysis.

Forecasts on where hogs are and when they’ll go to market
The quarterly Hog Inventory survey provides the primary data USDA’s Agricultural Statistics Board uses to develop each Hogs and Pigs report that is published by the National Agricultural Statistics Service. The target population of the survey is all U.S. farms that own at least one hog or pig on the survey’s reference date. For the latest Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report that date was Dec. 1, 2025. USDA samples large operations more heavily than small operations. Hog operations that own hogs in more than one state report inventories by state. USDA allocates the hogs to the proper state when publishing reports.

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Selling Hay for 40 Years: Fritz Trauttmansdorff, Dunlea Farms

Video: Selling Hay for 40 Years: Fritz Trauttmansdorff, Dunlea Farms



Fritz Trauttmansdorff came to Canada from Austria in 1980, bought a 45-cow dairy farm at Jerseyville, and within two years had more hay than he knew what to do with. He sold the quota in 1986, went debt-free, and built a hay business that has kept some of the same customers for forty years. Today Dunlea Farms runs about 2,500 acres — roughly 600 of it hay, the rest IP soybeans and grain corn — and Fritz makes the case that hay isn't the crop you grow when grain doesn't work. It's the crop that makes the grain work.

"If you grow corn, soybeans and wheat, you're on a three-wheeler. If you put hay in the rotation, you're on a four-wheeler."

WHAT WE COVER • Why the hay market moves independently of the Chicago Board — and what that does for farm-level risk
• The real cost of a mistake: five bushels in grain, versus the whole crop in hay
• Getting a second job out of the same iron — planting tractors that mow all summer, tillage tractors that bale
• How a grain farmer can get hay into the rotation without buying a single piece of hay equipment
• Drilling Timothy in the fall and double-cropping soybeans into it the next June
• What it actually takes to go all-in: roughly 500 acres, good sheds, and a baler you didn't buy used
• Local, regional and international hay markets — and choosing which one you're building for
• Why 40-year customer relationships are the asset, not the equipment