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Canadian farmers forced to gamble with high fuel, fertilizer costs amid Middle East war

A sharp jump in fuel and fertilizer prices has Canada's agriculture producers engaged in a pricey game of chance.

Prices for diesel and fertilizer have nearly doubled since the war involving the U.S, Iran and Israel, as the stalemate has choked vital oil and gas shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

That's impacting commodities down the line, and a shortage of fertilizer could make this upcoming crop year a gamble for farmers.

The families of Bruce Bird and Dave Reid have had farms in Cremona, northwest of Calgary, for more than a century.

Both men threw the dice last fall and pre-purchased both fuel and fertilizer to get them through this growing season, with seeding about two weeks away.

"We've tied up hundreds of thousands of dollars," said Bird, 48, who farms about 1,300 hectares.

"Had I not been able to justify the cost involved, I would have been a minimum of $100,000 further behind for exactly the same product, the same rates, the same everything."

Bird said even with the savings win, the cost is still high.

"Our preplanning comes at such a cost. I don't need to go Vegas. I live in Vegas," he said.

"As my grandfather said, 'You have to have deep pockets to play the game.' So you're sitting at the table losing money, then you throw another chip on the table and say, 'Let's go' because you believe."

Reid, 49, is planting about 1,012 hectares this year.

"Pre-buying in the fall was a gamble because, people were suggesting prices were going to be going down in the spring," Reid said.

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Kansas Wheat Harvest 2026 | Three John Deere S7 700 Combines in Action

Video: Kansas Wheat Harvest 2026 | Three John Deere S7 700 Combines in Action

Kansas Wheat Harvest 2026 is underway near Alden, Kansas!

In this video, I spend time with Frederick Harvesting, a custom harvesting operation based in Alden, Kansas. Back at their home farm, three new John Deere S7 700 combines equipped with John Deere HDF40 draper heads work through a drought-stricken winter wheat crop while one of the farm's John Deere 8R 370 tractors pulls a Brent 1398 grain cart.

Most of the Frederick Harvesting crew was already busy cutting wheat in southwest Kansas, but these machines remained at home to finish up local fields. Throughout the video, I explain what is happening, discuss the effects of dry conditions on the crop, and capture plenty of aerial footage showing the combines working with the grain elevator at Alden in the background.