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Canola mostly lower on Thursday

Canola futures were mostly weaker at Thursday's close, but off its lows for the session after uncovering some support to the downside.

Sharp strength in the Canadian dollar accounted for some selling pressure in canola. Speculative long liquidation also weighed on prices in early activity.

However, ongoing drought concerns across Western Canada, with forecasts calling for more heat and dryness over the next week, remained supportive. Gains in Chicago Board of Trade soybeans and soyoil also underpinned canola.

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.