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Ag Equipment Dealers and Manufacturers Release Trade Agreement Survey Results

Trade is an especially important issue for both equipment dealers and manufacturers.  As such, the Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM) and the Equipment Dealers Association (EDA) each conducted a survey of their members to gauge the perception of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and their potential impact on the ag industry.
 
Survey results revealed that both dealers (36 percent) and manufacturers (59 percent) are largely satisfied with the existing terms of NAFTA, but that some small changes were needed.  When it came to TPP, dealers and manufacturers had less of a consensus.  Only 15 percent of equipment dealers believe that TPP would have led to better trade terms for the equipment industry while 38 percent of manufacturers felt that way.
 
Comments from survey participants provide some insight as to these findings.
Equipment dealers expressed concern that the U.S. was shouldering too much of the cost under NAFTA and that Mexico was benefitting from more favorable terms.  Dealers also felt that the TPP would lead the U.S. providing inequitable subsidies to its trading partners.  Manufacturers on the other hand hoped NAFTA would be updated to reflect new technology and were disappointed in president Trump’s abandonment of the TPP.
 
EDA and AEM analyzed the differences in data collected from their U.S. and Canadian members.  Both dealers and manufacturers in Canada had markedly more positive views of trade than their U.S. counterparts.  For example, 80 percent of Canadian equipment dealers and over 50 percent of Canadian manufacturers surveyed were satisfied with the terms of NAFTA
 
EDA and AEM plan to keep their members updated on the status of these and other trade issues as the NAFTA re-negotiation gets underway later this summer.
 
Source : AEM

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Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”

Video: Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”


After a week of a U.S./China trade truce, markets/trade is skeptical that we have not seen a signed agreement nor heard much from China or seen any details. There are rumors that China is buying soybean futures & not the physical. Trust in Trump?
12 MMT of U.S. soybean purchases by China by year-end is better than 0 but we all need to give it more time and give it a chance to unfold. China did lower the tariffs on Ag and is buying U.S. wheat and sorghum.
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But despite a U.S. government shutdown we will be getting a USDA November crop report next Friday and it could be “game changing.” If the USDA provides a bullish surprise with lower U.S. corn and soybean yields and ending stocks that are lower than expected both corn and soybean futures will break out above their ceilings at $4.35/bu and $11.35/bu respectively.
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