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Deere Not Out of the Woods Yet. Here's Why the Stock is Falling Today.

Key Takeaways

  • Deere & Company is warning that tough market conditions, partially attributable to tariffs, will continue into next year.
  • The manufacturer of big farm and construction equipment gave a full-year outlook below forecasts.
  • The news offset better-than-expected profit and sales figures for the fiscal fourth quarter.

Shares of Deere & Company (DE) fell Wednesday morning after the maker of large farm and construction equipment gave a weak forecast and warned that “difficult market conditions” will continue for a while longer.

In the company’s fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings report, CEO John May said “ongoing margin pressures from tariffs and persistent challenges in the large ag sector remain.” He added that Deere believes “ 2026 will mark the bottom of the large ag cycle.”

The company predicts next year’s net income will be in a range of $4.00 billion to $4.75 billion. Analysts surveyed by Visible Alpha were looking for $5.19 billion.

The outlook offset a strong fourth quarter. Deere reported earnings per share of $3.93, with revenue up 11% to $12.39 billion. Both exceeded the Visible Alpha estimates.

The Production & Precision Agriculture division posted a sales gain of 10% to $4.74 billion. Sales grew 7% to $2.46 billion at the Small Agriculture & Turf unit, and they soared 27% to $3.38 billion at the Construction & Forestry segment.

However, for fiscal 2026 Deere sees Production & Precision Agriculture sales falling 5% to 10%. They expect them to rise about 10% at both Small Agriculture & Turf and Construction & Forestry.

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California Farm Bureau 2025 Farm Dog of the Year Contest Winner - Willy - CAFB 107th Annual Meeting

Video: California Farm Bureau 2025 Farm Dog of the Year Contest Winner - Willy - CAFB 107th Annual Meeting

Meet Willy: California Farm Bureau’s 2025 Farm Dog of the Year!

We’re excited to introduce Willy, a miniature long-haired dachshund with a big heart and even bigger courage, and the Grand Prize winner of this year’s Farm Dog of the Year Contest!

Willy may be small, but he’s become an indispensable partner on owner Marshal Hagedorn’s forestry and cattle operations in Shasta, Tehama, and Siskiyou counties. Adopted in 2023, he quickly found his place on the ranch, helping manage critters, tagging along for long days in the woods, and offering unwavering companionship during demanding logging work.

Willy has even taken naturally to moving cattle, surprising calves (and more than a few full-grown cows!) with his burst of energy from the tall grass. As Marshal put it: “He goes with me everywhere every single day.”

Congratulations to Willy and his family, a perfect example of how every good farm dog, no matter the size, helps keep California agriculture running strong.