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Ontario Farm Input Prices Drop; Farmers Spending Less On Machinery

By Joe Dales
 
Farm input costs in Ontario were down in the third quarter of 2015, compared to second-quarter numbers.
 
Stats Canada this week released data showing a 0.4 per cent drop in costs, but third-quarter numbers were still up a full two per cent from 2014.
 
While costs were down in Ontario, the nation-wide Farm Input Price Index (FIPI) rose 0.4 per cent in the third quarter.
 
The national increase was mainly attributable to animal production (+1.7 per cent).
 
A deeper look at costs related to farm machinery and motor vehicles shows that Canadian farmers spent 4.9 per cent less on those categories in the third quarter of 2015 versus one year ago.
 
Other inputs factored into the index are buildings, general farm business costs, and crop production.
 
Stats Canada’s FIPI is an indicator of the change in input costs faced by Canadian farmers. As such, the FIPI can be used to monitor price changes, which are considered in the operations of marketing boards and in price stabilization programs.
Governments use index data to develop national and regional economic policies related to agriculture.
 

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Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”

Video: Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”


After a week of a U.S./China trade truce, markets/trade is skeptical that we have not seen a signed agreement nor heard much from China or seen any details. There are rumors that China is buying soybean futures & not the physical. Trust in Trump?
12 MMT of U.S. soybean purchases by China by year-end is better than 0 but we all need to give it more time and give it a chance to unfold. China did lower the tariffs on Ag and is buying U.S. wheat and sorghum.
U.S. supreme court could rule against Trumps tariffs, but the Trump administration does have a plan B.
U.S. government shutdown is now the longest in history at 38 days.
But despite a U.S. government shutdown we will be getting a USDA November crop report next Friday and it could be “game changing.” If the USDA provides a bullish surprise with lower U.S. corn and soybean yields and ending stocks that are lower than expected both corn and soybean futures will break out above their ceilings at $4.35/bu and $11.35/bu respectively.
The funds continued their selling in live and feeder cattle futures on continued fears that the Trump administration want to lower U.S. beef prices. The fundamentals have not changed, only market psychology has.
Stocks markets continue to worry about a weak U.S. job market, but you can blame ChatGPT for that. In the future, we will have a more efficient, productive and growing economy with a higher unemployment rate until we have more skilled AI workers.
After 34 new record highs in the S & P 500 and 124 new records in the NASDAQ in 2025 we are back to a correction and investor profit taking as AI valuations may have gotten too stretched near-term ahead of NVDA’s 3rd quarter earnings announcement on Nov. 19th. But this is not an AI bubble.
75% of Tesla shareholders approved a $1 trillion pay package for Elon Musk!
It has rained in South America in the last 7 days, but both the American and European models agree that Central Brazil remains dry in the next 14-days!