June 4th, 2026 Weather Outlook

By Josh Bendorf and Bridgette Mason el.at

Weather and climate conditions this week in Wisconsin

Here are this week’s take-home points about the weather. As a reminder, AgWOW reports will be published weekly throughout the growing season. Scroll down for the full report.

Additionally, we’re collecting user feedback. Regardless of whether it’s your first time here or if you are a regular user, we’d love to hear from you!

Key Points

Recent Conditions

• Temperatures were unseasonably warm last week, with many locations at 4-8°F above normal for late May. 
• Portions of central and northwest Wisconsin received as much as 1.5” or more of rainfall last week, but most in the state received 0.25” or less. Over the past 30 days, most of the state has received 50% or less of normal precipitation. 

Impact

• Soil moisture levels at 4” depth across Wisconet research farm stations decreased from last week’s levels, in some cases to zero inches of plant available water. 
• Satellite-based soil moisture models indicate that soils in the top 1-meter depth dried out from last week’s report, with the southeast and west-central regions showing up as much drier-than-normal for early June. 
• Drought has returned to Wisconsin, with southeastern and west-central counties in D1 drought. 
• Despite the lack of rainfall over recent weeks, crop conditions are rated as good to excellent for most Wisconsin fields.  

Outlook

• Rain chances over the next 7 days are highest in the southern and southwestern counties, with the best chances up through Saturday morning (6/6). 
• The outlook for mid-June indicates that most of Wisconsin will likely see above normal temperatures (50-60% odds). 
• Across most of Wisconsin, the June outlook indicates a lean towards above-normal temperatures (40-50% odds) and below-normal precipitation (33-40% odds for most).