In 2025, Canadian farmers are projected to produce more wheat, canola, corn for grain, barley, and oats but less soybeans, compared with 2024, according to recent yield model estimates using satellite imagery and agroclimatic data.
The September publication of the Field Crop Reporting Series is a joint release between Statistics Canada and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. Statistics Canada, in collaboration with Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, has relied upon proven satellite technology to model preliminary crop yields and production since 2016. This method has successfully been used for the past decade to produce August yield estimates, which replaced July survey yield estimates beginning in 2020.
Yield estimates based on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) indicate that plant health in Western Canada varied as of August 31. In areas that received sufficient precipitation and warm temperatures, crop conditions were considered higher to much higher than normal. In drier areas, crop conditions varied from similar to lower when compared with historical averages. In parts of the Prairies, the NDVI improved in Western Canada throughout the month of August, possibly the result of warm temperatures coupled with increased precipitation.
In Eastern Canada, much of the area was drier than normal throughout the growing season, which, coupled with higher temperatures, resulted in crop conditions rated as similar or lower than normal as of August 31.
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