Agriculture Canada has raised its 2025-26 ending stocks estimates for most pulse and special crops from last month, including peas and lentils.
Monthly supply-demand estimates released by Ag Canada contained updated yield and production estimates based on based on data from Ag Canada’s Canadian Crop Yield Forecast (CCYF), which incorporates remote sensing and climate data up to July 31, 2025. The CCYF suggests the production of all principal field crops will increase modestly by 1% year-over-year and be higher than the five-year average by 7%
The largest yield increases are forecast for mustard seed, lentils and canary seed, in the range of 19-24% above average. On the other hand, flaxseed and mustard seed are among those crops for which a below average yield is expected.
Pea output for this year is now estimated by Ag Canada at 3.5 million tonnes, up 300,000 from the July estimate, above 2.997 million last year, and potentially the largest crop since 2020.
With the larger crop, Ag Canada raised its pea export forecast by 100,000 tonnes from last month to 2.1 million but forecasted 2025-26 ending stocks nonetheless increased to 1.275 million from 975,000 in July, up sharply from the upwardly revised 2024-25 stocks of 525,000.
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