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Spring wheat acres expected to increase in 2023

When it comes to supply and demand for wheat, demand has outstripped supply for the past couple of years.

Chuck Penner with LeftField Commodity Research says with the strength in demand, we've seen an increase in prices.

The price rally was accelerated by the drought and most recently by the war in Ukraine.

In terms of major exporters, he says, Canada bounced back while there was a drop from other key exporters.

"If you look at just the stocks themselves, it's the lowest since 2016/17, and if you look at it as the days of use, it's the lowest since 2014/15. Now, as you may know, China accounts for over half of those global wheat stocks. China's really not a player in terms of an exporter. The other thing is, we really don't know if those stocks exist, how large they are, or what quality they are, all of those types of things. So if you strip China's stocks out of that, the picture looks even more friendly, if you want to call it that. "

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Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

Video: Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

A rapidly changing Midwest weather pattern is unfolding in 2026 as areas that recently slipped into abnormal dryness and flash drought conditions are now facing the threat of heavy rain and repeated storm systems.

After a wet spring erased early drought conditions, regions across Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and northern Missouri have quickly dried out again since mid-to-late May. Soil moisture is dropping fast, and crops like corn and soybeans are beginning to feel the stress of rising temperatures and lack of consistent rainfall. Now, weather models show a major shift.

A developing system moving in from the Northern Plains is expected to bring multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for locally heavy rainfall across the Midwest. While some areas may miss out, others could finally see much-needed relief from the growing dryness. In this video, we break down:

Current drought conditions across the Midwest

Why a flash drought is developing quickly

Timing and path of incoming storm systems

Which states are most likely to see heavy rain

How long this wet pattern could last

Will this rain end the drought or create new flooding risks? Watch the full forecast to find out.