UADA Report: Global Rice Production Expected to Grow Through 2035

Jun 18, 2026

By Mary Hightower

Global rice production is projected to continue growing through 2035, with demand exceeding production and African consumption rising, according to the International Rice Outlook: International Rice Baseline Projections 2025–2035.

The outlook, written by Alvaro Durand-Morat, associate professor, and Willy Mulimbi, post-doctoral fellow, is an annual publication by the Arkansas Global Rice Economics Program of the department of agricultural economics and agribusiness at the University of Arkansas.

It is part of the research conducted by the Arkansas Agricultural Experiment Station of the University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture. It is published in concert with FAPRI, the Food & Agricultural Policy Research Institute of the University of Missouri.

“Our results indicate a continuous rice deficit — demand exceeding production — from 2026 to 2035,” the authors wrote. The deficit “will be annually offset by the release of stocks on the supply side.

“As such, global ending stocks are projected to keep declining slowly during the projected period,” the authors said.

Durand-Morat offered one caveat: The report projections are based on trends observed up to January 2026.

Source : uada.edu

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