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USDA: Beef and Pork Production Decline Signals Ongoing Supply Tightness

U.S. red meat production moved lower in February, reinforcing a trend of tightening supply across both the beef and pork sectors.

According to the latest USDA Livestock Slaughter Report, beef production totaled 1.93 billion pounds, down 4% year-over-year, with 2.17 million head harvested—a notable 7% decline compared to February 2025. The continued presence of heavier carcass weights helped offset some of the reduction in slaughter numbers, but not enough to reverse the overall decline in output.

Beef: Fewer Cattle, Heavier Weights
The February data reflects an ongoing structural shift within the cattle cycle. Lower herd numbers continue to limit slaughter volumes, while improved feeding efficiencies and longer finishing periods are driving heavier weights.

For the beef sector, this combination highlights a market still working through the aftereffects of herd contraction—where production efficiency is helping, but not fully compensating for reduced inventory.

Pork: Also Trending Lower
Pork production also came in below year-ago levels, adding another layer to the broader protein supply picture. While the decline is less pronounced than in beef, it signals that hog supplies are not expanding aggressively despite ongoing demand stability.

For pork producers and integrators, this reinforces a familiar reality:

  • Supply growth remains measured
  • Production efficiency continues to be critical
  • Market balance is being shaped more by biology than expansion
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