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Canadian Corn Outlook Shows Mixed Regional Trends

Canadian Corn Outlook Shows Mixed Regional Trends
Sep 02, 2025
By Farms.com

Statistics Canada reports mixed yields and higher acres

Statistics Canada projects Canadian corn-for-grain production to grow slightly in 2025, despite drier-than-normal weather and high temperatures that have pressured yields. National production is forecast to rise 1.4% year over year to 15.6 million tonnes.  

This gain comes from higher harvested acres, projected at 3.7 million (+3.1%), while yields are expected to decline by 1.7% to 165.9 bushels per acre. 

Ontario, Canada’s largest corn-for-grain-producing province, is expected to see a 2.9% increase in output to 9.9 million tonnes. The growth is driven by higher harvested acres, up 3.4% to 2.2 million, which will balance a slight yield decline of 0.5% to 179.1 bushels per acre. 

In Quebec, corn production is anticipated to decline. Output is projected to fall 4.0% to 3.5 million tonnes. Both lower harvested area, down 3.0% to 849,800 acres, and weaker yields, down 1.0% to 160.5 bushels per acre, are expected to contribute to this decrease. 

Manitoba is forecast to post a record corn harvest in 2025. Production is projected to climb 10.3% to 1.9 million tonnes, largely due to a significant expansion in harvested area, up 19.6% to 596,600 acres. However, yields in the province are expected to drop sharply by 7.8% to 128.6 bushels per acre, reflecting the effects of dry growing conditions. 

According to Statistics Canada, these results highlight the impact of weather on yields, while also demonstrating how expanded harvested acres in major provinces are helping stabilize overall corn production levels for 2025. 

You may also be interested in reading some of the articles below to learn more details for other crop forecasts.    

Photo Credit: Statistics Canada


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