Statistics Canada reports lower yields across provinces
Statistics Canada forecasts that Canadian soybean production will decline in 2025, reflecting weaker yields across major producing provinces. Nationally, output is projected to fall by 7.3% year over year to 7.0 million tonnes.
The decline is linked to a drop in yields, which are expected to decrease by 8.5% to 45.0 bushels per acre. Harvested area, however, is anticipated to rise slightly, up 1.3% to 5.7 million acres.
Ontario, the largest soybean-producing province, is projected to experience the steepest reduction. Farmers there are expected to harvest 4.0 million tonnes in 2025, down 8.8% from the previous year. This comes as harvested area falls by 7.0% to 2.9 million acres, with yields also slipping 1.9% to 50.9 bushels per acre.
In Manitoba, soybean production is forecast at 1.6 million tonnes, a decrease of 5.3% compared with 2024. The province is set to expand harvested acres by 15.6% to 1.6 million. However, this gain is overshadowed by a sharp 18.0% drop in yields, which are projected at just 36.1 bushels per acre, largely due to dry conditions.
Quebec is also expected to see a decline. Production is forecast to fall 6.2% to 1.3 million tonnes in 2025. While harvested area is projected to increase by 4.6% to 1.1 million acres, yields are expected to decline by 10.3% to 44.5 bushels per acre, limiting overall output.
According to Statistics Canada, the outlook highlights how weather stress and yield declines are shaping soybean production in 2025. Despite modest acreage growth, reduced productivity across Ontario, Manitoba, and Quebec is expected to lower national totals.
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Photo Credit: Statistics Canada