Canadian Corn Outlook Shows Mixed Regional Trends

Sep 02, 2025
By Farms.com

Statistics Canada reports mixed yields and higher acres

Statistics Canada projects Canadian corn-for-grain production to grow slightly in 2025, despite drier-than-normal weather and high temperatures that have pressured yields. National production is forecast to rise 1.4% year over year to 15.6 million tonnes.

This gain comes from higher harvested acres, projected at 3.7 million (+3.1%), while yields are expected to decline by 1.7% to 165.9 bushels per acre.

Ontario, Canada’s largest corn-for-grain-producing province, is expected to see a 2.9% increase in output to 9.9 million tonnes. The growth is driven by higher harvested acres, up 3.4% to 2.2 million, which will balance a slight yield decline of 0.5% to 179.1 bushels per acre.

In Quebec, corn production is anticipated to decline. Output is projected to fall 4.0% to 3.5 million tonnes. Both lower harvested area, down 3.0% to 849,800 acres, and weaker yields, down 1.0% to 160.5 bushels per acre, are expected to contribute to this decrease.

Manitoba is forecast to post a record corn harvest in 2025. Production is projected to climb 10.3% to 1.9 million tonnes, largely due to a significant expansion in harvested area, up 19.6% to 596,600 acres. However, yields in the province are expected to drop sharply by 7.8% to 128.6 bushels per acre, reflecting the effects of dry growing conditions.

According to Statistics Canada, these results highlight the impact of weather on yields, while also demonstrating how expanded harvested acres in major provinces are helping stabilize overall corn production levels for 2025.

You may also be interested in reading some of the articles below to learn more details for other crop forecasts.

Wheat Output Decline Projected for 2025

Canola Production to Rises in 2025

Canadian Farmers Face Weaker Soybean Yields Ahead

Canadian Barley Production to Decline, but Oat Outputs to Rise

2025 Canadian Farming Outlook Reveals Mixed Results

Photo Credit: Statistics Canada

Video: Seeing the Whole Season: How Continuous Crop Modeling Is Changing Breeding

Plant breeding has long been shaped by snapshots. A walk through a plot. A single set of notes. A yield check at the end of the season. But crops do not grow in moments. They change every day.

In this conversation, Gary Nijak of AerialPLOT explains how continuous crop modeling is changing the way breeders see, measure, and select plants by capturing growth, stress, and recovery across the entire season, not just at isolated points in time.

Nijak breaks down why point-in-time observations can miss critical performance signals, how repeated, season-long data collection removes the human bottleneck in breeding, and what becomes possible when every plot is treated as a living data set. He also explores how continuous modeling allows breeding programs to move beyond vague descriptors and toward measurable, repeatable insights that connect directly to on-farm outcomes.

This conversation explores:

• What continuous crop modeling is and how it works

• Why traditional field observations fall short over a full growing season

• How scale and repeated measurement change breeding decisions

• What “digital twins” of plots mean for selection and performance

• Why data, not hardware, is driving the next shift in breeding innovation As data-driven breeding moves from research into real-world programs, this discussion offers a clear look at how seeing the whole season is reshaping value for breeders, seed companies, and farmers, and why this may be only the beginning.