Statistics Canada projects canola growth with higher yields
Statistics Canada projects that Canada’s canola production will increase by 3.6% in 2025, reaching 19.9 million tonnes. This gain is largely attributed to higher yields, which are forecast to rise by 5.7% to 41.0 bushels per acre. The stronger yields are expected to offset a smaller harvested area, which is projected to decrease by 2.0% to 21.4 million acres.
Saskatchewan, the country’s largest canola producer, is expected to lead the growth. Production in the province is projected to rise by 5.9% to 11.1 million tonnes. Yields are forecast to improve by 5.1% to 40.3 bushels per acre, while harvested area is expected to edge up slightly by 0.8% to 12.1 million acres.
In Alberta, canola production is forecast to grow by 2.8% to 5.8 million tonnes in 2025. The improvement comes from higher yields, which are expected to rise by 6.1% to 41.5 bushels per acre. Central Alberta, which received adequate rainfall, contributed most to this growth. Harvested area in the province, however, is projected to decline by 3.1% to 6.1 million acres.
Manitoba’s outlook contrasts with the Prairies’ overall trend. While yields in the province are expected to improve significantly by 8.2% to 43.5 bushels per acre, harvested area is projected to fall sharply by 9.6% to 3.0 million acres. This reduction in area is expected to bring overall production down by 2.2% to 2.9 million tonnes.
According to Statistics Canada, Canada’s canola production outlook in 2025 highlights the importance of weather conditions in shaping yields. Stronger yields across the Prairies will support overall growth, even as harvested area contracts.
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Photo Credit: Statistics Canada