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Ethanol's new flight path - US corn farmers pivot to jet fuel

By Farms.com

The American corn industry is adapting to a significant market shift. The rise of electric vehicles (EVs) is leading to a decrease in ethanol demand, a biofuel largely derived from corn. This change poses a substantial challenge to corn farmers, who have historically relied on ethanol production. 

In response, the industry is turning towards sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) as a potential new market. This pivot is not just about market survival but also aligns with global environmental goals.  

Major airlines, under pressure to reduce their carbon footprint, are exploring SAF as a greener alternative, with companies like United Airlines and Delta setting ambitious targets for SAF adoption. 

The development of SAF from corn ethanol is in its early stages, and several hurdles remain. Ethanol must demonstrate a lower carbon footprint to qualify for tax breaks and be economically viable. Technologies such as carbon capture and renewable energy integration are key to achieving this. 

Despite the challenges, the opportunity is sizeable. The Biden administration has shown support for crop based SAF, projecting a significant role for farmers in SAF production. If successful, this could not only offset the decline in traditional ethanol demand but also contribute to a more sustainable aviation industry. 

The transition from gasoline ethanol to SAF represents a critical pivot for US agriculture. It requires innovation, policy support, and market acceptance. For corn farmers, this move could ensure their relevance in a rapidly evolving energy landscape, while also contributing to global efforts to combat climate change. 

As the world moves towards greener energy solutions, the adaptation of the corn ethanol industry to produce SAF could serve as a model of resilience and innovation in agriculture, marrying economic interests with environmental stewardship. 


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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.