Canadian Canola Exports Likely to Suffer

Dec 07, 2022

A smaller crop here and a larger one in Australia will likely combine to trim Canadian canola exports in 2022-23, market sources say.

In its November supply-demand estimates, Agriculture Canada forecast Canadian canola exports for the current marketing year at 9.3 million tonnes, up more than 76% from the previous year.

However, the Ag Canada forecast was based on Statistics Canada’s September model-based production forecast of 19.1 million tonnes. Meanwhile, last week’s updated StatsCan production report lowered this year’s crop to 18.17 million tonnes, leaving less supply for exports. Additionally, a record large canola production forecast for Australia means Canadian supplies will see more competition in international markets, which has the potential to trim shipments as well.

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Video: Independent Seed, National Impact | On The Brink: Episode 9

A survey of 200 independent seed businesses reveals what Canada's seed sector actually contributes — and what it stands to lose.

On the Brink, Justin Funk, a third-generation agri-marketer, shares the findings of a national survey conducted in early 2026. The numbers reframe the conversation: independent seed companies in Canada represent upwards of $1.7 billion in dedicated seed infrastructure, approximately 3,000 full-time equivalent jobs in rural communities, and an estimated $20 million in annual community contributions. And roughly 90% of Canada's cereals, pulses, and other small pollinated crops flow through them.

The survey also asked how dependent these businesses are on public plant breeding to survive. The answer was unambiguous. For policymakers evaluating the future of publicly funded breeding programs, Funk argues the economic case for this sector and the case for public plant breeding are the same argument.

On the Brink is a cross-country video series exploring the future of plant breeding in Canada. Each episode features voices from across the industry in an open, ongoing conversation about innovation and long-term investment in Canadian agriculture.