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Canadian Pork Sector Urged to Stay Calm Amid U.S. Tariff Rhetoric

As trade tensions escalate between the United States and global partners, Canadian pork producers are being advised to stay grounded and avoid knee-jerk reactions—especially when it comes to retaliatory tariffs.

Paul Marchand, Senior Risk Management Analyst at HAMS Marketing Services, says the real danger for Canadian pork producers isn’t from U.S. tariffs directly targeting Canada, but rather from how other countries—particularly Mexico—may respond.

Why It Matters

Canadian pork pricing is closely tied to U.S. markets, with prices largely derived from USDA daily reports. If U.S. pork faces export disruptions or retaliatory tariffs, the domestic U.S. supply could back up—dragging prices down across North America.

“The biggest threat isn’t a direct tariff on Canadian pork,” Marchand explains. “It’s if U.S. pork gets hit by tariffs elsewhere and floods the domestic market. That’s when Canadian pricing gets squeezed.”

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Swine Industry Advances: Biodigesters Lower Emissions and Increase Profits

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Analysis of greenhouse gas (GHG emissions) in the Canadian swine sector found that CH4 emissions from manure were the largest contributor to the overall emissions, followed by emissions from energy use and crop production.

This innovative project, "Improving Swine Manure-Digestate Management Practices Towards Carbon Neutrality With Net Zero Emission Concepts," from Dr. Rajinikanth Rajagopal, under Swine Cluster 4, seeks to develop strategies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions.

While the management of manure can be very demanding and expensive for swine operations, it can also be viewed as an opportunity for GHG mitigation, as manure storage is an emission source built and managed by swine producers. Moreover, the majority of CH4 emissions from manure occur during a short period of time in the summer, which can potentially be mitigated with targeted intervention.

In tandem with understanding baseline emissions, Dr. Rajagopal's work focuses on evaluating emission mitigation options. Manure additives have the potential of reducing manure methane emissions. Additives can be deployed relatively quickly, enabling near-term emission reductions while biodigesters are being built. Furthermore, additives can be a long-term solution at farms where biogas is not feasible (e.g., when it’s too far from a central digester). Similarly, after biodigestion, additives can also be used to further reduce emissions from storage to minimize the carbon intensity of the bioenergy.