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ICE Close: Canola Lower on Follow-Through Selling

Canola futures closed weaker on Thursday, seeing follow-through selling after Wednesday’s drop below chart support. 

Wednesday’s close below C$800/tonne in the nearby November contract was bearish from a technical standpoint, with the resulting speculative selling building on itself on Thursday. Losses in European rapeseed and Malaysian palm oil also weighed on canola, although a turn higher in Chicago soyoil provided some support. 

Seasonal harvest pressure and relatively favourable Prairie weather were also overhanging the market, while scale-down end-user demand on the other side tempered the declines. 

November canola lost $12.10 to $786.50, January dropped $13.20 to $793.20, and March fell $13.20 to $798.20. 

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Increased Geo Political Tensions = SELL AMERICA TRADE + Argentina Dry

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Higher geo-politics from Trump wanting to annex Greenlland to conflict with Iran has caused investors to sell everything America. With Matto Grosso Brazil 7% harvested weather has turned wet as harvest progresses but Argentina has turned dry! Both soybean and wheat futures have traded back above the pre-USDA January crop report close a positive technical chart signal. A monster weekly U.S. export report is price supportive but a kick the can down the road on E15 is very disappointing.