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IFPRI-AMIS SEMINAR SERIES Emerging Trends in the Global Soybean Complex

Global changes in soybean production and consumption are reshaping global markets. Global oilseed prices have fallen considerably since last year’s record highs. World soybean production is likely to hit a record high in 2023/24, with global ending stocks projected to rebuild for the second consecutive year. Global soybean trade continues to be driven by China, which accounts for about 60% of total soybean imports. China’s domestic consumption has grown at about 4% per year over the past 10 years. In the United States, increased biodiesel production has diverted more soybean production to be crushed domestically for soybean oil, reducing soybean exports. As a result, Brazil and other suppliers have seen their market shares grow. In 2023/24, Brazil is projected to account for almost 58% of total soybean exports.

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2026/27 South American Early Soybean Planting Pace a Record + A Repeat of 1998 in Hogs?

Video: 2026/27 South American Early Soybean Planting Pace a Record + A Repeat of 1998 in Hogs?


Despite a Super Strong El Nino the early South American soybean planting pace is ahead of schedule.
The long-term forecast looks dry for the North but wet for the South including Argentina.
China bought 1.5 mmt of U.S. soybeans this week with rumors of 2 mmt and now at 68% of 25 mmt commitment.
The question mark remains the Chinese pledge towards the $17 billion in ag purchases.
NOPA weekly crush report was lower than expected. Another hot U.S. wholesale inflation print this week.
Investors rotating out of AI
Weak U.S. pork demand weighing on hogs
+ CFTC.