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More Gains Possible for Canola Futures

Canola futures have risen over the past week and the market may have more room to run higher amid production uncertainty, according to one analyst. 

Jerry Klassen of Winnipeg-based Resilient Commodity Analysis said he expects the nearby July contract to go back up to $700/tonne in the coming weeks. The July contract closed Wednesday at $670.20. 

“Maybe a bit up to $720, into that range,” Klassen said. “We’re not getting into a runaway bull market here, but if you see another $30 to $40 upside (on the July contract), that wouldn’t surprise me.” 

Both the July and new-crop November canola contracts have rallied about $20 over the past week, gains that Klassen at least partially attributed to short covering.  

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Canada reaches tariff deal with China on canola, electric vehicles

Video: Canada reaches tariff deal with China on canola, electric vehicles

Canada has reached a deal with China to increase the limit of imports of Chinese electric vehicles (EVs) in exchange for Beijing dropping tariffs on agricultural products, such as canola, Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Friday.

The tariffs on canola are dropping to 15 per cent starting on March 1. In exchange for dropping duties on agricultural products, Carney is allowing 49,000 Chinese EVs to be exported to Canada.

Carney described it as a “preliminary but landmark” agreement to remove trade barriers and reduce tariffs, part of a broader strategic partnership with China.