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Oil Falls a Second-Straight Week Even With Macro Price Boost

By  Julia Fanzeres

Fed rate-hike more likely; Asian oil refining margins weak WTI traded above $76, swung with equities for most of the week

Oil fell for a second consecutive week even as an earnings-driven rally on Wall Street pushed prices higher.

West Texas Intermediate rose the most in almost four weeks Friday, boosted by risk-on sentiment that benefited commodities across the board. Oil largely tracked broader market trends this week as many traders avoided staking out big positions while they await the next US central bank decision.

Crude swung sharply in April, surging to a 15-month high after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies announced an output cut. Prices subsequently gave up those gains amid technical pressures and a deteriorating outlook.

Recent economic data shows that US inflation continues to accelerate, bolstering expectations the Federal Reserve will keep raising rates and heightening the chances of a demand-sapping recession. Meanwhile, supply from Russia has remained resilient despite Group of Seven sanctions, and China’s rebound has been slower than some anticipated.

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Higher Crude Oil Futures for Longer = Stagflation?

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Fears are starting to grow that higher crude oil futures for longer could see slower economic growth and higher inflation BUT…. At a meeting in Paris, the Chinese team said they would be willing to buy more non-U.S. soybean row crops???? Trump's delay with the Xi meeting (pushed out to end of April) was replaced with the Ag Appreciation Day” on March 27th, 2026. A dry weather pattern for the Central Plains/U.S. winter wheat country causing are wildfires in NE and breaking record temps for March. Stocks are officially in a correction as funds continue to sell the metals to buy energy and ag + more.