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Oil Falls a Second-Straight Week Even With Macro Price Boost

By  Julia Fanzeres

Fed rate-hike more likely; Asian oil refining margins weak WTI traded above $76, swung with equities for most of the week

Oil fell for a second consecutive week even as an earnings-driven rally on Wall Street pushed prices higher.

West Texas Intermediate rose the most in almost four weeks Friday, boosted by risk-on sentiment that benefited commodities across the board. Oil largely tracked broader market trends this week as many traders avoided staking out big positions while they await the next US central bank decision.

Crude swung sharply in April, surging to a 15-month high after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies announced an output cut. Prices subsequently gave up those gains amid technical pressures and a deteriorating outlook.

Recent economic data shows that US inflation continues to accelerate, bolstering expectations the Federal Reserve will keep raising rates and heightening the chances of a demand-sapping recession. Meanwhile, supply from Russia has remained resilient despite Group of Seven sanctions, and China’s rebound has been slower than some anticipated.

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Iran War = “Trend is Your Friend” Short-Term BUT……

Video: Iran War = “Trend is Your Friend” Short-Term BUT……


Historically wars like the 2026 Iran war are bullish hard assets like grains, metals and energy! The funds are spooked and do not want to be short, but do they price in the news over time, similar to the Ukraine/Russian war that started on Feb. 24, 2022? A closure of the Strait of Hormuz is the key to the surge in crude oil, natural gas prices and fertilizer prices.  Grains are breaking out to new contract highs as a hedge against inflation.