While domestic pork production is forecast at 1.06 million MT (MMT) CWE, up almost 2% from the 2024 estimate, production levels will remain below pre-African swine fever levels through 2025. Improving disease conditions are expected in the second half of 2025, but the country continues to contend with ASF outbreaks in all three regions of the country: Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao, which is limiting herd rebuilding and future pork production in the remainder of 2024 and early 2025.
Pork consumption in the Philippines in 2025 is forecast to increase by 2% to 1.58 MMT CWE. Economic growth and population expansion will support this increased consumption, albeit tempered by overall inflation.
Pork imports are expected to reach 510,000 MT CWE in 2025, up over 6% from 2024. Continued animal disease challenges, strong economic growth, and forecast population increases will push imports upward. Department Order 3 (DO No. 3), which expanded the access of Brazilian exporters to ship pork to the Philippines, also supports the forecast increase in pork imports in 2025.
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