Philippine pork production and consumption to increase in 2025

Sep 16, 2024

While domestic pork production is forecast at 1.06 million MT (MMT) CWE, up almost 2% from the 2024 estimate, production levels will remain below pre-African swine fever levels through 2025. Improving disease conditions are expected in the second half of 2025, but the country continues to contend with ASF outbreaks in all three regions of the country: Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao, which is limiting herd rebuilding and future pork production in the remainder of 2024 and early 2025.

Pork consumption in the Philippines in 2025 is forecast to increase by 2% to 1.58 MMT CWE. Economic growth and population expansion will support this increased consumption, albeit tempered by overall inflation.

Pork imports are expected to reach 510,000 MT CWE in 2025, up over 6% from 2024. Continued animal disease challenges, strong economic growth, and forecast population increases will push imports upward. Department Order 3 (DO No. 3), which expanded the access of Brazilian exporters to ship pork to the Philippines, also supports the forecast increase in pork imports in 2025.

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Video: Swine Industry Advances: Biodigesters Lower Emissions and Increase Profits

Analysis of greenhouse gas (GHG emissions) in the Canadian swine sector found that CH4 emissions from manure were the largest contributor to the overall emissions, followed by emissions from energy use and crop production.

This innovative project, "Improving Swine Manure-Digestate Management Practices Towards Carbon Neutrality With Net Zero Emission Concepts," from Dr. Rajinikanth Rajagopal, under Swine Cluster 4, seeks to develop strategies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions.

While the management of manure can be very demanding and expensive for swine operations, it can also be viewed as an opportunity for GHG mitigation, as manure storage is an emission source built and managed by swine producers. Moreover, the majority of CH4 emissions from manure occur during a short period of time in the summer, which can potentially be mitigated with targeted intervention.

In tandem with understanding baseline emissions, Dr. Rajagopal's work focuses on evaluating emission mitigation options. Manure additives have the potential of reducing manure methane emissions. Additives can be deployed relatively quickly, enabling near-term emission reductions while biodigesters are being built. Furthermore, additives can be a long-term solution at farms where biogas is not feasible (e.g., when it’s too far from a central digester). Similarly, after biodigestion, additives can also be used to further reduce emissions from storage to minimize the carbon intensity of the bioenergy.