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U.S. Pushes China to Increase American Ag Imports by $25 Billion

By Sean Ellis

Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue told reporters May 23 that the U.S. is pushing China to increase the amount of American agriculture commodities it imports by about $25 billion annually.

According to Agri-Pulse, Perdue said it would take two to five years to accomplish that.

Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin told Fox News May 20 the U.S. expects to see a 35-45 percent increase in agricultural exports to China this year.

China imported $21 billion worth of agricultural products from the United States last year, making China the No. 2 market for U.S. farm products, behind Canada ($22 billion).

Perdue’s $25 billion total marks a remarkable turnaround in what was once a possible trade war between the two nations that many people believed would have significantly harmed U.S. farmers and ranchers.

Now, instead of being a potential big loser in the once-threatened trade war between the United States and China, U.S. agriculture could be one of the big winners.

President Donald Trump on May 21 tweeted, “China has agreed to buy massive amounts of ADDITIONAL Farm/Agricultural Products – would be one of the best things to happen to our farmers in many years!”

He also tweeted, “Under our potential deal with China, they will purchase from our Great American Farmers practically as much as our Farmers can produce.”

The two nations in March and April announced hundreds of billions of dollars in tariffs on each other and China’s proposed tariffs had largely targeted the United States’ agricultural sector.

But the U.S. and China on May 19 issued a joint statement announcing a framework that could reduce the U.S.’s $375 billion trade deficit with China.
 

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.