US Wheat Ending Stocks Down; Global Stocks Up

Jan 12, 2023

Projected 2022-23 US wheat ending stocks continued to tick lower but global stocks were raised in a monthly USDA supply-demand update Thursday.

US wheat ending stocks are now estimated at 567 million bu, down only slightly from the government’s December forecast of 571 million but further below the 2021-22 and 2020-21 ending stocks levels of 845 million and 698 million, respectively. Meanwhile, world wheat ending stocks were raised 1.1 million tonnes this month to 268.4 million, although that remains below the previous year’s 276.82 million.

The tightening in US stocks was a mild surprise, with most traders and analysts expecting an upward revision to around 580 million bu. Wheat futures were trading between 2 and 15 cents higher this afternoon.

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Video: Dr. Emerson Nafziger: Nitrogen Fertilizer Rates for Corn

The Crop Science Podcast Show, Dr. Emerson Nafziger from the University of Illinois breaks down decades of nitrogen research. From the evolution of N rate guidelines to how soil health and hybrid genetics influence nitrogen use efficiency, this conversation unpacks the science behind smarter fertilization. Improving how we set nitrogen fertilizer rates for rainfed corn is a key focus. Discover why the MRTN model matters more than ever, and how shifting mindsets and better data can boost yields and environmental outcomes. Tune in now on all major platforms!

"The nitrogen that comes from soil mineralization is the first nitrogen the plant sees, and its role is underestimated."

Meet the guest:

Dr. Emerson Nafziger is Professor Emeritus of Crop Sciences at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, with degrees in agronomy from Ohio State, Purdue, and Illinois. His research has focused on nitrogen rate strategies and crop productivity. He co-developed the Maximum Return to Nitrogen (MRTN) model, which is widely used across the Midwest. His research spans N response trials, hybrid interactions, crop rotation effects, and yield stability.