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US Wheat Price Report : All Three Nearby U.S. Wheat Futures Contracts Closed Higher
Oct 06, 2014
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All three nearby U.S. wheat futures contracts closed higher on Friday, marking the first week-over-week gain in six weeks. Supporting futures was a strong commercial sales report and an easing U.S. dollar index after hitting a four-year high early in the week. The Canadian government adjusted down its estimate of 2014/15 wheat production and Russia appears to be backing out of the export market, adding support to futures. Large global supplies and a higher than expected USDA Grain Stocks report limited gains. CBOT December wheat gained 12 cents to close at $4.86/bu. MGEX added 10 cents to $5.43/bu and KCBT closed 4 cents higher at $5.68/bu. CBOT December corn closed unchanged at $3.23/bu and CBOT November soybeans added 2 cents to $9.12.
In its quarterly Grain Stocks report released Tuesday, USDA estimated total U.S. wheat stocks on September 1, 2014 totaled 52.1 MMT, up 2% from the same date last year but 11% below the five-year average. On-farm stocks increased 30% year-over-year and off-farm stocks decreased 9%.
USDA reported that winter wheat was 43% planted as of September 28, ahead of the five-year average of 36%. Wheat in the southern U.S. Plains is benefiting from good soil moisture and appears to be in good condition.
Statistics Canada reduced its 2014/15 wheat production estimate on Friday to 27.5 MMT, down from 27.7 MMT in August and 27 percent lower than last year.
Agriculture consultancy UkrAgroConsult increased its forecast for Ukraine's 2014/15 wheat exports to 10.0 MMT from 9.5 MMT previously.
Commercial wheat sales exceeded trade expectations this week, according to USDA. Weekly sales of 741,000 MT were up 90% from the prior 4-week average and above trade expectations of 400,000 to 600,000 MT. Total known outstanding sales and accumulated exports, through September 25, 2014 were 13.6 MMT, 27% lower than last year's year-to-date total of 18.5 MMT. USDA forecasts 2014/15 U.S. wheat exports (including donations) to reach 24.5 MMT.
The Baltic Panamax Index closed 80 points higher than last Friday at 887.
The US Dollar Index closed higher this week at 86.81, up from 85.80.
Source : uswheat.org
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